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880
FXUS63 KSGF 160445
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1145 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017

For tonight, southerly winds will stay pretty steady at 10 to 15
kts and may see a funnel effect at SGF with surface winds from
150-160 degrees up the plateau. Low level jet will crank up again
to the west in Kansas and will see additional thunderstorms
develop within the favorable areas of lift. Most of this will be
west of our CWA, but GFS is developing some convection over
southeast Kansas and far western MO after midnight. Will leave
pops out for now, but will need to monitor tonight.

It will be mild tonight with the steady winds and increased
dewpoints and lows are expected to remain in the mid to upper 60s.

Another warm and breezy day is expected on Saturday with the tight
pressure gradient continuing ahead of the main low pressure system
in the plains. Temperatures will once again warm into the upper
80s to around 90.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017

Thunderstorm chances will increase on Saturday night with the cold
front approaching from the northwest. The main upper level wave
will be well to the northwest across the Dakotas into Minnesota.
Still, convection is expected to develop over the northwestern
portion of the CWA on Saturday night and move through the
remainder of the area on Sunday.

Southwest flow aloft will persist through much of the upcoming
week and with it, a series of upper level disturbances. The warmer
weather will continue as well as shower and thunderstorm chances
each day.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017

Pilots can expect VFR conditions tonight through Saturday at area
terminals. Gusty southerly surface winds will resume on Saturday
with gusts to around 25 kts. The potential for storm development
will have to be monitored for late tonight into early Saturday
morning across eastern Kansas. It appears this activity will
remain west of the terminal sites if it develops.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg