Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 012328

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
628 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2015

...00Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 0305 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2015

The region is currently in a northwest upper level flow pattern
as an upper level low slowly spreads southeast into the Gulf Coast
states. The northwest flow pattern will remain over the area through
the weekend resulting in drier and cooler conditions through the
weekend. Highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s will occur through
Sunday. A few locations across the easter Ozarks may drop into the
upper 30s tonight into early Friday morning.

The drier air mass and limited lift will result in no
rain occurring through the weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 0302 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2015

The trough and upper level low will push off to the east next
weekend allowing upper level ridging to build east over the
central U.S. during the early and middle of next week. As a
result a warmer trend occurring as highs return to the 70s occur
Monday with highs increase to around the 80 degree mark on

An upper level low will then push into the southwestern U.S.
early next week. The low will then track east through the middle
of next week. Medium range models differ from each other and from
run to run on the track and timing of this system. As a result
this is a low confidence forecast for the middle of next
week. Depending on the track of the system rain will be possible
across the region during mid week, but this will be very
dependent on the track of this system.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 0627 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2015

Clear skies are expected through the next 24 hours. The only
aviation concern will be gusty north winds from late morning
through late afternoon on Friday.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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