Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 170454

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1154 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Weak cold front approaching I-35 in Kansas to lose its upper
support as the mid level shortwave advects quickly into Canada.
The lack of a strong low level jet tonight places uncertainty in
the coverage of precipitation to begin with and the southwest
orientation should slow the eastward progression into SW MO.
Further convective inhibition points toward limited chances for
thunderstorms, so bottom line this system won`t end our dry spell.

Clouds and some slight cool advection will knock temperatures back
on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Next shortwave to migrate even further north across the Canadian
prairie and associated front will again lose its support as it
approaches the region Wednesday so similar questions exist in just
how much relief may be expected with this system as well.

Otherwise mild weather to continue compliments of the maintenance
of the southwest flow.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Ongoing scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase in
coverage overnight and continue into most of Sunday. Surface
front currently extending from northeast Kansas into northwest
Oklahoma will move southeast through the forecast period and be
situated roughly along Interstate 44 by 00z Monday.

Ahead of the front...winds will generally be light and south to
southwest but may be more gusty near the stronger convection.




SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
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