Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 251649
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1149 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

...18z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 0336 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

Surface high pressure continues to build into the area early this
morning. Very dry air is in place as evidenced by the 00z SGF
sounding where PW values were around 0.50 in. Water vapor imagery
also shows very dry air over the area, but with some mid/upper
level moisture beginning to shift south into the region.
Temperatures with the dry air have dropped into the mid to upper
50s. Record lows for this morning are in the low 50s so a few may
yet fall.  See record numbers below in the climate section.

Forecast will focus on temperatures through the early part of the
week, with low end chances of precipitation entering back into the
picture by weeks end.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0336 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

Very pleasant late Summer conditions are expected again today
across the area with surface ridge in place and northwest flow
aloft continuing to pump in that cooler and drier air. Highs today
are expected to reach the upper 70s northeast CWA to mid 80s
southwest. Normal highs for this time of year are in the upper 80s
to around 90. Another mostly clear and cool night is in store
tonight with the coolest air in the eastern Ozarks where we are
going low 50s, to mid and upper 50s in the western CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 0336 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

As we head into the latter part of the week, some upper level
energy will begin to break down our ridge to the west and spill
into the region, bringing low end chances of showers/thunderstorms
for Thursday into Saturday.

The ridge will eventually begin to build back into the area by
early next week and we should see temperatures rebound once again,
along with some Gulf moisture increasing.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1148 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

Beautiful weather for pilots flying in and out of the Missouri
Ozarks region. VFR will remain through tomorrow morning with light
and variable winds under 5 knots and clear skies.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 0336 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

Here are some record low temperatures for August 25:

Springfield......50 in 1958
Joplin...........53 in 1958
Vichy/Rolla......51 in 1958
West Plains......51 in 1958

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Griffin
CLIMATE...Lindenberg


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