Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 102041

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
241 PM CST Fri Nov 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening and Tonight)
Issued at 240 PM CST Fri Nov 10 2017

Surface high pressure is currently located to the east of the
area this afternoon. A cooler air mass is associated with the high
as a warmer air mass is located to the west. As a result a decent
temperatures gradient has setup across the area as temperatures
currently range from the lower 40s across central Missouri to the
upper 50s across far southwestern Missouri during the mid
afternoon hours. Lows tonight will range from the upper 20s across
the eastern Ozarks to the upper 30s across southern Kansas and
western Missouri.

Gusty winds will develop in the Springfield area this evening and
tonight, as southeast winds funnel into the area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Friday)
Issued at 240 PM CST Fri Nov 10 2017

The pressure gradient will tighten some across the are on Saturday
as the high pressure slides off to the east and a system
approaches from the west. This will allow winds to pick up some
with gust of 20 to 25 mph expected during the morning and
afternoon hours Saturday.

Highs will warm into the lower to middle 50s on Saturday under
mostly cloudy skies. An upper level trough and cold front will
move across region Satruday night into Sunday. Light rain or
drizzle will occur at times from late Saturday afternoon into
Sunday morning as the system approaches and tracks through the
area. Rainfall amounts will be light as the air mass will overall
be more on the drier side.

An upper level ridge will build over the region during the early
and middle portions of the week, allowing a warmer air mass to
spread into the area. Highs in the upper 50s to the middle 60s are
expected through much of next week.

A few showers will be possible Monday night into Tuesday as the
warmer air mass begins to advect northeast into the area. Any of
this activity will likely be more scattered in nature.

An upper level shortwave trough and front will sweep through the
region on Wednesday bringing additional chances for rain to the
area. A more zonal pattern will setup for late night week and
another upper level disturbance may track trough the region during
the later part of next week bringing additional chances for rain
with it`s passage.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Fri Nov 10 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at the Taf sites this afternoon
through Saturday morning. High level clouds will be over the area
this afternoon, but will scattered out some this evening.

Winds will be out of the southeast through much of the TAF period.
This evening and tonight gust winds will develop at the KSGF site
due to funneling effect of southeast wind. Winds will then become
more gusty at the KJLN and KBBG Sites Saturday morning.

Mid level clouds will also increase across the area late tonight
into Saturday morning.




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