Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 091142
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
542 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

A very cold morning is underway at this hour, with 3 AM
temperatures generally in the mid teens. As high pressure
continues to slide southeast over the next couple of hours,
temperatures will likely fall by a few more degrees. Readings
appear to largely be on track to bottom out around sunrise a few
degrees on either side of 10 degrees.

Today should be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures up around
30. Lows tonight will fall back into the teens.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

A general warming trend is expected this weekend as highs warm
back into the 40s and even low 50s by Sunday as southerly warm airadvection
kicks in. Some light WAA-induced precipitation/drizzle is possible
early in the day on Sunday. A very brief period of freezing
drizzle or wintry mix is possible as morning lows will be in the
30s, though the overall potential appears low. No impacts are
expected at this time.

Rain chances will increase Sunday afternoon, before ending Sunday
night as a front swings through the area. Rainfall amounts will be
light--generally a tenth of an inch or less.

Things then look quiet until mid to late in the week, when
guidance brings another front through the area. Significant run to
run and model to model differences persist with this system,
however, so confidence is quite low with the details. There`s
general consensus in another solid shot of cold air, though
ensemble temperature solutions range anywhere from near zero to
the upper 20s. Precipitation potential is also all over the map,
though it`s worth mentioning that anything that DOES fall would
likely be wintry in nature.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect fair weather VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

Arctic high pressure was building directly over southern Missouri
this morning. This feature will facilitate light and variable
winds at the surface and mostly clear skies.

No obstructions to visibilities are expected at this time.

Safe Travels.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Boxell
LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...Cramer



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