Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 302008
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
308 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FIRST WAVE OF RAINFALL MOVING ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF OUR REGION
THIS AFTERNOON...AS AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO DIVE SEWD IN
THE NW FLOW ALOFT. THIS WAVE OF PRECIP IS FCST TO CONTINUE MOVING
E AND THEN NE OUT OF OUR REGION...BEFORE MORE MOVES IN LATE
TONIGHT. AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS
ERN OK/WRN AR...JUST N OF OUR AREA. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN
EFFECT IN COUNTIES IMMEDIATELY BORDERING OURS IN PARTS OF SE OK/SW
AR...BUT DO NOT FEEL THAT THE FORECAST RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1-3 INCHES
WARRANT BRINGING IT FURTHER S INTO OUR AREA. THAT SAID...CAN`T
RULE OUT SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN THE TERRAIN OF
NRN MCCURTAIN COUNTY...BUT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO EXPAND FURTHER S INTO E TX/N LA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...AS THE UPPER TROF PUSHES AN ASSOCIATED SLOW-MOVING
COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS
CENTRAL LA/MS LATE FRIDAY...AND KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN FOR N CENTRAL
LA THROUGH THE END OF THE PD.

AS FOR TEMPS...WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MAX TEMPS RUN WELL BELOW
LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST NORMALS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. TEMPS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY REBOUND EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1146 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014/

AVIATION...

SCT SHOWERS AND TSTMS TO MOVE INTO THE SW AR BY LATE THIS WEDNESDAY
EVENING WITH LOWERING CEILINGS TO MVFR AT TIMES. SCT SHOWER AND TSTMS
TO THEN AFFECT E TX AND N LA AT TIME DURING THURSDAY MORNING AS
WELL...BUT WILL FORECAST VFR CONDITIONS WITH CEILINGS ABOVE 3K FEET
PER CLIMATOLOGY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. /08/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  69  81  69  83  69 /  40  40  40  30  20
MLU  65  82  67  83  68 /  30  50  40  40  30
DEQ  66  72  64  80  65 /  80  60  20  20  10
TXK  67  77  64  81  67 /  70  60  30  20  10
ELD  66  77  64  82  66 /  50  60  40  30  10
TYR  74  83  68  84  70 /  50  40  30  20  10
GGG  72  82  68  83  69 /  40  40  40  20  10
LFK  73  90  72  87  71 /  20  40  40  30  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12




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