Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 232114
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEWPOINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PREFRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHERWISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LVL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
LOWERED AFTN WIND SPEEDS AND CANCELLED LWA. SW WINDS IN CLEAR
SKIES OVER CENTRAL TX ARE BARELY 15 TO 20 MPH...THUS DO NOT EXPECT
WINDS TO BECOME THIS STG AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO CLEAR OVER NE TX THIS
AFTN. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR WINDS BEHIND COLD FRONT AS FRONT
APPROACHES AREA THIS EVE./VII/.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1200 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

AVIATION...
LOOK FOR IMPROVING FLIGHT CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS
RIVER VALLEY DEPARTS THE REGION. HOWEVER...MVFR CIGS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF N LA/SW AR THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
BEFORE SCATTERING OUT. WHILE SOME SCT STRATOCU MAY LINGER THIS
EVENING ACROSS NCNTRL LA/SCNTRL AR...LOW VFR/HIGH BASED MVFR CIGS
WILL DROP SE INTO THE REGION BY MIDEVENING...BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
THESE CIGS SHOULD REACH THE TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS AROUND 05Z...SHV
AND ELD AROUND 06Z...AND MLU BY 09Z. LOOK FOR THESE CIGS TO DIMINISH
FROM NW TO SE BY 12Z...CLEARING MLU BY 15Z. SW WINDS SHOULD
INCREASE TO 10-15KTS...WITH GUSTS TO 20KTS ACROSS THE WRN SECTIONS
OF E TX. WINDS WILL VEER NW 10-15KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20KTS WITH THE
FROPA. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$






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