Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 291730
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1230 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

.AVIATION...
Thunderstorm activity will be limited this afternoon with drier air
filtering in from the north but isolated shower may be possible today.
VFR conditions for all terminal sites through the 30/18z. TAFS package
with cloud heights above 5KFT will be common. Surfacre ridge overhead
will provide East to Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph across the region,
becoming light and variable overnight. /21/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1154 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Much drier atmosphere compared to 24 hours ago per the 12Z SHV
raob leading to less cloud cover and a rapid warm-up underway this
morning, but some CU has begun to develop in the past hour over
much of the region. However, the lack of any significant mid-level
moisture and additional drier air mixing farther south out of S AR
should preclude any convection across the region today. Of course,
we cannot completely rule out a stray shower popping up during the
heat of the afternoon but this does not warrant any pops given our
current atmospheric profile. Thus, will let the current forecast
ride with afternoon highs projected to reach the lower to mid 90s.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  72  95  73 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  93  69  93  70 /  10  10   0   0
DEQ  94  67  93  70 /  10  10  10  10
TXK  94  70  93  72 /  10  10   0  10
ELD  93  67  93  69 /   0   0   0  10
TYR  95  73  95  74 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  94  72  95  72 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  94  72  95  72 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

19/21


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