Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 261624
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1024 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST ON TRACK THIS MORNING. NO UPDATES ATTM.
/14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 542 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 26/12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AREAWIDE
WITH SKIES REMAINING GENERALLY SKC OTHER THAN A FEW PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS AT KLFK EARLY IN THE TAF PERIOD. SFC WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME WLY IN RESPONSE TO A SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER S TX. ANOTHER
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 27/06Z SHIFTING
THE WINDS BACK TO THE NW EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS SE OK/SRN
AR. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 150 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS AND COOL TEMPS. HIGHS TODAY FORECAST TO
CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. A WEAK DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT USHERING IN A REINFORCEMENT OF
COOL HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. LIGHT WINDS AND
CLEAR SKIES TO PREVAIL THROUGH LATE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
AVERAGING IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.

A SECOND COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY
ALLOWING NEAR FREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR WITH ALL OTHER AREAS IN THE 40S.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE DURING THE WEEKEND AS UPPER TROUGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA AND ALLOWS SOUTHWEST FLOW OF PACIFIC
MOISTURE TO SURGE EAST ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. WITH A COLD
AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...COULD SEE THE POSSIBILITY OF
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY.
HOWEVER...MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN STEADILY BACKING AWAY FROM
WINTER PRECIP THREAT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO
FORECAST TEMPERATURES TRENDING UPWARDS. BELIEVE THAT FREEZING RAIN
THREAT WILL LIKELY DIMINISH IN FUTURE FORECAST PACKAGES. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  43  68  43  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  57  42  64  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  61  37  68  39  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  59  42  67  43  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  58  39  64  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  63  44  70  46  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  63  43  70  43  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  64  44  71  45  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$






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