Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 061215
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
615 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS WITH LGT TO OCNL MODERATE RAIN...PUSHING
EAST ACROSS NE TX. THIS PRECIP SENDING CIGS INTO LOW MVFR TO
OCNL HIGH MVFR CAT. THIS AREA INCLUDES KTYR...KGGG...KLFK...WITH
LOWER CIGS AND RAIN APPROACHING KSHV. FURTHER NORTH AND EAST
EXPECT ONLY MID LVL CLOUD DKECKS. THIS RAIN AREA IS INDUCING
VRBL WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS. AFTER 06/18Z...EXPECT AREA OF RAIN TO
DIMINISH...AND MOSTLY VFR SKC THRU 07/12Z FCST CYCLE EXCEPT FOR
PERHAPS A FEW LEFTOVER CIRRUS. WINDS TO BE MOSTLY LGT AS WELL
AREAWIDE AFTER 06/18Z. SOME BRIEF PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE TONIGHT
WHERE GROUND IS WET...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS VSBY NOT
EXPECTED./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS SHOWING UP ON RADAR THIS MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS MOVING EAST INTO TYLER AND
JACKSONVILLE. DEBATABLE WHETHER PRECIPITATION IS ACTUALLY REACHING
THE GROUND ACROSS ALL AREAS...BUT CORSICANA OB REPORTING LIGHT
RAIN. WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS ACROSS EAST TEXAS THIS MORNING WITH
PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO SLIGHT CHANCE BY THE
AFTERNOON AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. SKY
CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH
TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 50S.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE
WEEKEND TO RANGE FROM HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S TO LOWS IN
THE 30S. COULD SEE SOME AREAS ACROSS EAST TEXAS REACH THE LOWER
60S ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST AHEAD OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDING ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT TO BRING A REINFORCEMENT OF COLD AREA ON MONDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM HIGHS IN THE 50S AND LOWS IN THE 30S
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  33  61  38 /  30  10   0   0
MLU  54  33  60  38 /  10  10   0   0
DEQ  55  30  60  32 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  53  34  59  36 /  10  10   0   0
ELD  54  32  59  37 /  10  10   0   0
TYR  53  34  62  37 /  50  10   0   0
GGG  52  32  61  36 /  60  10   0   0
LFK  54  32  62  38 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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