Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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267
FXUS64 KSHV 261538
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1038 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Latest forecast soundings from SHV and LCH indicate dry air above
2500 feet. Expecting low clouds across deep east Texas to Toledo
Bend and points eastward in the vicinity of a weak frontal
boundary to mix out with afternoon heating later this morning.
For this forecast package removed fog wording for these areas.
Otherwise, current forecast is on track at this time with high
temperatures forecast to climb into the lower to middle 80s. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 805 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017/

AVIATION...
For the 26/12Z TAF period, VFR conditions observed except for LFK
as a warm front have begun to lift back north over deep east Texas
and central Louisiana. This is resulting in MVFR/IFR cigs and some
patchy fog at LFK, and expect this to prevail through late morning
with gradual lifting/scattering of this low level moisture aided by
returning southerly winds. The warm front will lift north across
all remaining terminal sites through today with lgt/vbrl winds this
morning becoming southerly around 8-12 kts with some gusts possible
during the afternoon across east Texas sites ahead of the next cold
front arrival later this evening through the overnight hours. Upper
level trough will transition across the Red River Valley with the
front and will produce increasing showers and thunderstorms, some
possibly severe mainly along and north of I-30 so most terminals
will be south of the primary threat area except for possibly the
TYR/TXK sites. Low level moisture will increase ahead of the front,
and except low ceilings to develop area wide with MVFR conditions
after midnight along with increasing southerly winds between 10-15
kts with higher gusts.

/19/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  86  65  81  61 /   0  20  30  10
MLU  83  64  82  62 /   0  20  40  20
DEQ  79  60  77  49 /  10  70  20  10
TXK  81  63  78  55 /   0  40  20  10
ELD  81  62  79  57 /   0  20  40  20
TYR  85  64  80  60 /  10  30  20  10
GGG  85  65  81  60 /   0  30  20  10
LFK  87  67  85  65 /   0  20  30  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05



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