113
FXUS64 KSHV 110047
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
747 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

 - One more day of scattered to numerous daytime showers and
   thunderstorms today, mainly across our southern and eastern areas.

 - Rain chances diminish for Friday through the upcoming weekend.

 - Temperatures will continue to climb into early next week with
   critical heat indices possible and the return of Heat Advisories
   next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Surface high pressure across the gulf waters will allow for weak
southerly flow across the ArkLaTex through the early part of the
weekend. Aloft, an upper-trough across the region will allow for
unstable conditions areawide through this evening, allowing for
increased rain chances across portions of north Louisiana.
Conditions are forecast to improve by midnight with overnight lows
forecast to fall into the low to mid 70s.

Rain chances to gradually diminish through the weekend into early
next week as an upper-level ridge across the Atlantic retrogrades
west across the northern gulf coast, eventually becoming centered
across the ArkLaTex by Sunday. Subsidence associated with the high
will bring diminished rain chances along with a gradual warming
trend with high temperatures by Wednesday nearing 100 degrees
areawide.

The combination of hot temperatures and increased humidity values
will result in heat index values approaching advisory criteria
across portions of the region as early as Sunday. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 738 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

For the 11/00Z TAF period, VFR conditions prevail this evening as
afternoon convection has just about diminished entirely as sunset
approaches. Cu field will also largely dissipate, but lingering
convective debris clouds may linger through this evening closer to
KMLU. Otherwise, look for some patchy low stratus to return around
daybreak near KLFK and possibly as far north as the I-20 corridor.
However, have only included low cigs at KLFK for this TAF cycle.
S/SW winds will generally prevail throughout the period as speeds
drop off overnight and then increase once again between 6-12 kts
on Friday with higher gusts possible across our East TX terminals.

/19/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Spotter activation should not be needed this afternoon through
tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  95  75  96 /  20  10   0  20
MLU  73  95  74  96 /  20  30  10  20
DEQ  71  94  72  93 /  10   0   0  10
TXK  74  97  74  97 /  10  10   0  10
ELD  72  96  73  95 /  20  20  10  20
TYR  74  94  74  93 /  10   0   0  30
GGG  74  95  74  94 /  10  10   0  30
LFK  73  95  74  92 /  20  20   0  60

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...19