Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 302247
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
547 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES EARLY THIS EVENING IN AND AROUND
MOST TERMINAL SITES. FEEL LIKE WE CAN LEAVE OUT ANY TSRA MENTION
IN THE TXK/ELD/MLU TERMINALS AS THEY HAVE ALREADY BEEN WORKED
OVER. ALL OTHER TERMINALS ARE IN PLAY HOWEVER WITH A MYRIAD OF
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION TO DEVELOP OVER THE
NEXT 4 HOURS OR SO. EXPECT THIS CONVECTION TO HANG AROUND UNTIL
THE 03-05Z TIMEFRAME BEFORE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATING. OBVIOUSLY...
EXPECTING LOWER VSBYS AND STRONG/VARIABLE WIND GUSTS WITH
CONVECTION AT ANY TERMINAL THIS EVENING.

SHOULD SEE HIGH THIN CIRRUS WITH DEBRIS CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT WITH
A PERSISTENT NE WIND IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. DRIER AIR IN
THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN NOT MUCH IF ANY CU
FIELD ON FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST AT TIMES ON FRIDAY...
NEAR 18KTS OR SO WITH SUFFICIENT MIXING.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CHARACTERIZED BY HEAVY RAIN AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA...SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ALLOWING FOR
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE MID 70S OVERNIGHT.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE TO REBUILD BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT
HAS SPARKED CONVECTION TODAY. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY TO CLIMB INTO
THE MID 90S AREAWIDE WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES FORECAST TO REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...WILL REFRAIN
FROM ISSUING ANY FURTHER ADVISORIES FOR FRIDAY AND WILL MAINTAIN
CURRENT WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES TO EXPIRE AT 7 PM.

TEMPERATURES TO AGAIN APPROACH 100 DEGREES LATE IN THE WEEKEND AS
UPPER-RIDGE STRENGTHENS TO THE WEST. OTHERWISE...LIGHT WINDS ALONG
WITH HOT CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND MID-
WEEK. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  96  73  97 /  20  10  10  10
MLU  73  95  72  97 /  20  10  10  10
DEQ  73  94  70  95 /  20  10  10  10
TXK  74  95  72  97 /  20  10  10  10
ELD  72  94  71  96 /  20  10  10  10
TYR  77  97  74  98 /  20  10  10  10
GGG  77  97  74  98 /  20  10  10  10
LFK  77  97  72  98 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

05/13


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