Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 281954
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
254 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
OUR SECOND RARE JULY COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON CONTINUES TO PUSH
SWD ACROSS DEEP E TX/CENTRAL LA THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION HAS
BEGUN TO REDEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...AND THIS TREND WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH SUNSET.

RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AS THE FRONT
HEADS TOWARDS THE COAST. HOWEVER...A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
SEWD IN NW FLOW ALOFT...DRAWING THE FRONT BACK NWD AND BRINGING
RAIN BACK TO PARTS OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY. MODELS STILL TWEAKING
TIMING AND LOCATION OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL FOR THIS EVENT...BUT IT
SEEMS REASONABLY CERTAIN THAT MUCH OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE
CONFINED TO THE I-30 CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY...BEFORE
SPREADING SWD AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE FORCES THE FRONT SWD.
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY DIP WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST S OF THE REGION WITH
DISTURBED NW FLOW DOMINATING THE WEATHER PATTERN HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPS SUBDUED AND RAIN CHANCES IN
MAINLY S OF I-20 THROUGH THE END OF THE PD. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1120 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

AVIATION...

COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH DEEP EAST TX AND CENTRAL LA AND IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH S TO THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. SLIGHTLY
COOLER...DRIER AND STABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. /VIII./

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  92  69  86  70 /  10  10  10  30  40
MLU  66  90  64  86  67 /  10   0  10  30  30
DEQ  63  88  66  81  66 /  10   0  20  50  60
TXK  67  89  66  83  67 /  10   0  10  50  50
ELD  64  89  64  84  66 /  10   0  10  40  30
TYR  71  92  71  90  71 /  20  10  10  30  40
GGG  69  92  69  88  70 /  20  10  10  30  40
LFK  72  93  71  92  73 /  20  10  10  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12





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