Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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927
FXUS64 KSHV 221814
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1214 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

.AVIATION...
For the 22/18z TAFS...Low ceilings and fog remain across the area
leaving behind IFR/LIFR conditions. In addition to the low
ceilings/fog...scattered showers/t-storms continue to develop and
move northward across the TAF sites as a frontal boundary just
south of the region continues to move northward as a warm front.
The front will hang across the region, keeping rain chances across
the TAF sites. There will be breaks in precipitation across
throughout the TAF period, but low ceilings and fog will remain.
Northeast winds will shift to the south behind the front./20/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1059 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Ongoing rain event continues to result in areas of flash flooding
this morning. Models continue to indicate a band of
heavy/training rainfall setting up this aftn/evening across the
I-30 and vicinity corridor. Have made some updates to PoPs based
upon current radar trends, but overall the PoP fcst looks to be on
track. For temps today, have updated with current obs, which are
trending quite a bit lower than previously fcst. Have made some
adjustments to max temps accordingly. /12/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  74  64  77 /  90 100  40  90
MLU  63  78  63  80 /  30  60  30  90
DEQ  48  62  56  71 / 100 100  70  90
TXK  51  66  61  73 / 100 100  50  90
ELD  55  71  60  75 /  90 100  40  90
TYR  48  69  63  73 / 100 100  50  90
GGG  54  72  64  74 / 100 100  40  80
LFK  59  78  66  77 /  70  50  30  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for OKZ077.

TX...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

20



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