Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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256
FXUS64 KSHV 241056
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
556 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.AVIATION...
Expect isold to sct convection to remain to the north, and to the
south, of the area. However, little if any shra/tstms at any areal
terminals expected thru fcst cycle. Sct to bkn high based stratocu
drifting nwd across the area this am. Vfr conditions to continue
with possible brief mvfr cigs over ne tx before 25/12z. Also, sw
winds around 2k feet agl 25 to 30 kts resulting in some moderate
low lvl shear with much lighter winds 5 to 10 kts from south, at
sfc./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 248 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A persistent forecast pattern to continue through the weekend with
upper-level ridge holding across the region allowing for high
temperatures to climb into the low to mid 90s each day. Heat
index values will remain below heat advisory criteria through
Sunday. However, low-level moisture to gradually increase early
next week, possibly causing heat index values to climb to around
105 degrees across some locations.

For today, went ahead and added slight chance pops across the
southern zones during the early evening hours to cover northward
moving seabreeze convection. Rain chances to remain fairly minimal
through Saturday. However, a weak surface boundary will ease into
the region from the northeast and linger through much of the
workweek, serving as focus for mainly afternoon and evening
convection each day. With upper-level ridge in place, convection
will be diurnally driven during the time of max heating through
Tuesday. However, upper-level ridge is forecast to break down from
mid to late week allowing for increased coverage of convection
along with slightly cooler afternoon high temperatures. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  94  75  95  77 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  94  75  96  76 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  93  73  94  75 /  10  10  10  10
TXK  94  75  95  77 /  10  10  10  10
ELD  94  74  95  76 /  10  10  10  10
TYR  94  75  95  77 /  10  10  20  10
GGG  93  75  95  76 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  93  75  94  75 /  10  20  30  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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