Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 270027
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
627 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

.AVIATION...
For the 27/00Z TAFs, VFR conditions are still holding despite cigs
lowering in areas with showers and thunderstorms. Convection is
best handled with TEMPO conditions early in the period but should
become more widespread overnight and through Monday morning as an
upper level disturbance shifts eastward across TX into our region.
Ceilings will likely continue to deteriorate with mostly MVFR and
occasional IFR conditions possible through much of Monday morning
as convection increases and expands farther east into the region.
Convection should begin to wane during Monday afternoon with just
isolated activity still possible through the end of the TAF cycle.
Otherwise, mainly sely winds between 5-10 kts to prevail with some
occasional higher gusts invof on convection.

/19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 457 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure continued to shift east away from the
Four State Area with returning Southerly flow returning gulf
moisture along with a warm front. The warm front will
enhance showers and thunderstorms across the forecast area
with the assistance from disturbances aloft shifting across
the area as well. Continued passages of upper level disturbances
in the nearly zonal to a gradual transition to a Southwest flow
will keep rain chances into near mid week until a cold front
moves across the area returning surface high pressure and a break
in the precipitation pattern. The pattern starts to repeat for the
next weekend as surface high pressure slips east off the Eastern
Seaboard returning gulf moisture around the back side returning
warming temperatures and awaiting the next cold front. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  77  64  82 /  70  50  30  30
MLU  56  76  64  83 /  70  60  30  30
DEQ  48  69  57  76 /  70  40  30  40
TXK  52  72  61  78 /  70  50  30  40
ELD  53  72  61  80 /  70  60  30  40
TYR  59  78  63  80 /  70  50  20  40
GGG  59  77  64  81 /  70  50  20  40
LFK  61  80  65  83 /  70  50  30  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

19/06



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