Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 011013
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
513 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR AND NICER WITH SOME LOWER DEW POINTS MIXED INTO OVER THE
AREA. AIR TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 70S WITH A LIGHT SW
WIND. WE HAVE GONE JUST ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR TODAY AND MAY NEED MORE
WITH ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND SOUTHWEST WINDS...BUT THE GROUND IS
STILL WET FROM FRESH RAIN IN MANY LOCALES AND WHILE A FEW MID 90S
MAY BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE DRIER AREAS WHERE SOIL WILL HEAT
QUICKER...THINK THE UPPER END OF LOW 90S MAY HOLD FOR TODAY.

THE WATER VAPOR SHOWS THE RIDGE ALOFT FROM THE INTER-MOUNTAIN
WEST ON OUT INTO THE PLAINS WITH THINNING CIRRUS IN THE SUBSIDENT
AREAS FROM OK IN AR AND TX AND LA. SOME ISOLATED OR MAYBE EVEN
WIDELY SCATTERED ACTIVITY MAY CROP UP IF OUTFLOWS GET GOING...BUT
IT LOOKS A LITTLE DIFFERENT FOR US TODAY...SO WHAT THE HEAT INDEX
IF AIR GOES WARMER. THE PATTERN LOOKS SIMILAR FOR TOMORROW WITH
STILL AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THE UPPER RIDGE
BACK OUT WEST WITH A DIP SEEN EVEN NOW ON THE VAPOR OVER ID/MT.

THIS BODES WELL FOR MORE RAIN TO RETURN AND KEEP THE HEAT IN
CHECK FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND. SCATTERED TO EVEN NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN AS THE MODELS ARE A
LITTLE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH AN MCV FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THE CANADIAN GOES SUPER WET IN THE RED RIVER WATER SHED WHILE THE
GFS AND EURO INDICATE A WETTER DAY ON SATURDAY AREA WIDE THAN ANY
OTHER FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. SO PLAN FOR SHELTER IF NEEDED THIS
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY IF OUT ON THE WATER. NOAA WX RADIO IS STILL
THE BEST SOURCE FOR ALL HAZARDS INCLUDING SVR THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
ARE NOT CARRIED ON CELL PHONES LIKE FLOODING AND TORNADO WARNINGS.
LIGHTNING IS AN UNDERRATED KILLER BY MANY AND GUSTY WINDS OFTEN
ACCOMPANY THE ONSET OF THESE HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THE PATTERN LOOKS
TO DRY OUT FOR NEXT WEEK. THE RED RIVER IS STILL NEAR CREST WITH
31.00 FEET LAST HOUR AT SHV.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  93  75  94  76 /  20  10  10  10
MLU  93  75  94  75 /  20  10  10  20
DEQ  92  74  91  73 /  10  20  20  40
TXK  93  76  92  75 /  10  20  20  30
ELD  93  76  93  74 /  20  20  20  30
TYR  92  74  92  75 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  93  74  93  75 /  20  10  10  10
LFK  93  74  93  75 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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