Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 010011
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
711 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.AVIATION...
MVFR STILL AT KTXK UNTIL SUNSET...THEN SKC EVERYWHERE IN THE CWA.
S/SW SFC WINDS ARE SLACKING GUSTS NOW AND LOW LEVEL FLOW OVERNIGHT
WILL BRING IN MORE IFR/MVFR CIGS AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK
WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 18Z. LOOK FOR A CHANCE FOR TSTMS
ARRIVING IN E TX BY 21Z AND AREA WIDE OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES OVER THE MID SOUTH. ATTM...OUR CLIMB WINDS ARE DEEP SW FLOW
10-20KTS...THEN VEERING TO WNW 20-50KTS ALOFT WITH 65KTS BY FL300.
LITTLE CHANGE ALOFT BEHIND THE UPPER LOW UNTIL FROPA 04/00Z

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 228 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY FROM SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS ALLOWING FOR ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. AS SECOND UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EAST
OUT OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...EXPECTING CONVECTION TO REINITIATE
ALONG THE RED RIVER AND MOVE EAST INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT TO FALL INTO THE 60S UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES.

UPPER-LEVEL FLOW TO BECOME MORE ZONAL ON WEDNESDAY. WEAK IMPULSES
WITHIN THE MEAN FLOW TO ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO CLIMB TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. A
DEEPENING TROUGH ACROSS THE MIDWEST TO ALLOW FOR ENHANCED
SOUTHERLY WINDS AREAWIDE. COULD SEE WINDS APPROACHING LAKE WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS EAST TEXAS ON BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.

COLD FRONT TO BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT TO BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND TO RANGE FROM HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION. OTHERWISE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO SHIFT EAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  80  64  81 /  10  30  20  30
MLU  60  81  64  82 /  20  20  20  30
DEQ  60  76  61  77 /  30  40  40  30
TXK  61  77  63  78 /  30  30  30  30
ELD  61  79  63  80 /  30  20  20  30
TYR  63  79  65  81 /  10  40  30  30
GGG  62  80  64  81 /  10  30  30  30
LFK  63  81  65  83 /  10  30  30  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24/05


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