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000
FXUS64 KSHV 260233
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
933 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION CONTINUES INTO THE EVENING...WITH SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE
FROM THE CORNER OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...NORTHWARD ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO RAISE POPS AND QPF
IN THESE AREAS FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME DECREASE AFTER
MIDNIGHT BUT WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING THROUGH DAYBREAK. SOME
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS BUT THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST LOOK GOOD.

UPDATE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED TSTMS MAINLY ALONG A BROAD GENERAL NORTH TO SOUTH
AXIS...FROM EASTERN TOLEDO BEND UP ALONG TX/LA STATE LINE...AND TO
RED RIVER VALLEY NEAR SE CORNER OF OK. STORMS MOVG NWD...AND CONTAIN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH WINDS GENERALLY IN THE 20 TO 40 KT RANGE.
STORMS TO AFFECT KSHV THRU 26/02Z AND MAY AFFECT KTXK THRU 26/04Z.
TSTM VCNTY KGGG AND KTYR THRU 26/02Z. SOME MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS
POSSIBLE AT MAINLY KTXK...KSHV...KGGG...AND KLFK WHERE HEAVY
RAINFALL HAS...OR MAY SOON OCCUR. WEATHER PATTERN CHANGING LITTLE
TOMORROW...EXPECT ISOLD TO SCT AFTN/EVE CONVECTION ACROSS SAME
GENERAL AREAS ON SUNDAY./VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  87  66  88  68 /  30  30  20  10  10
MLU  65  84  64  86  65 /  20  30  20  10  10
DEQ  67  83  62  87  65 /  50  30  20  10  10
TXK  67  84  63  87  66 /  60  30  20  10  10
ELD  64  84  62  87  65 /  20  30  20  10  10
TYR  70  86  67  88  68 /  30  30  20  10  10
GGG  69  86  65  88  68 /  30  30  20  10  10
LFK  71  90  66  91  69 /  30  30  20  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/07