Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 301210 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
710 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through much of the 30/12Z TAF
period. A sct cu field should develop by midday areawide...with
cigs possibly forming over E TX where isolated convection fires by
early to mid-afternoon. Have omitted mention of VCTS from the
area terminals given the low confidence/isolated nature of the
convection...but amendments are possible this afternoon. Any
convection that does develop should diminish by early
evening...with some convective debris possibly lingering as well
especially over E TX before thinning late. Otherwise...SKC should
return to the SW AR/N LA terminals tonight. NE winds 5-8kts today
will become light NE after 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 527 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
High pressure over area with deep upper low movg north of great
lakes, pushing a weak frontal boundary across Ohio Valley towards
area by thursday. Today should be pretty much a carbon copy of
yesterday, with some compressional warming possible Wednesday,
with approach of frontal boundary. Although NAM guidance appears
too warm, slightly hotter temps well into mid 90s and possible dew
point pooling suggest that heat indices may reach 105 across
portions of area Wednesday aftn. This heat advisory criteria
however to be short lived as this frontal boundary expected to
generate mostly scattered convection Thursday aftn, or possibly
even in morning. Also expect convection to be at a minimum for at
least first part of wknd as slightly drier air filters into region
behind this boundary, which tries to drift west of area towards
central TX. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  75  96  76 /  20  20  10  10
MLU  96  75  97  75 /  20  20  10  10
DEQ  93  73  95  74 /  20  20  10  20
TXK  93  74  94  75 /  20  20  10  20
ELD  94  74  94  75 /  20  20  10  20
TYR  93  75  94  75 /  30  30  10  10
GGG  93  75  95  75 /  30  30  10  10
LFK  94  75  96  76 /  30  30  10  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

15


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