Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 231208
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
608 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...
TO BEGIN THE 23/12Z TAF FORECAST PERIOD...EXPECT WIDESPREAD IFR
CIGS WITH IFR TO MVFR VSBYS DUE TO RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL
BEGIN TO IMPROVE RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST BY MID MORNING BECOMING
VFR. THE VFR FLIGHT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THROUGH 24/12Z. WIND WILL BECOME AN ISSUE
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY WITH LIGHTER AIRCRAFT. EXPECT SOUTHWEST
WIND TO INCREASE...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KTS
ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...10 TO 15 KTS ELSEWHERE.
AFTER 24/00Z WIND WILL BECOME WESTERLY...REACHING 20 KTS SUSTAINED
AT SOME TERMINALS...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA...GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 KTS. AFTER 06Z...WIND WILL BEGIN
TO DECREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHWRS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS IS PRETTY MUCH AS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH MUCH LESS
THUNDER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. EMBEDDED VORT OVER CENTRAL TX
IS FCST TO DAMPEN AND LIFT ENEWD TODAY...WITH SHWRS GRADUALLY
COMING TO AN END FOR MOST AREAS BY THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY SWLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF E TX DURING THIS AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH ANOTHER DISTURBANCE ON THE HEELS OF THIS MORNING`S WILL QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...BRINGING VERY
GUSTY NWLY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. WILL BE ISSUING A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE GUSTY WINDS BOTH DURING THIS AFTN
AND LATER THIS EVENING/TONIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC WILL MOVE IN OVER THE REGION BY
MONDAY...WHILE OUR UPPER LEVELS REMAIN DOMINATED BY LARGE-SCALE
TROUGHING. A SERIES OF VORTS WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF
THROUGH MIDWEEK...WHICH WILL PROPEL THE TROF EWD AND EVENTUALLY
OFF-SHORE BY LATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL LEAVE US DRY UNDER WEAK
WNWLY FLOW THROUGH THE END OF THE PD. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  44  62  37  62 /  20   0  10  10  10
MLU  74  45  62  36  60 /  70   0  10  10  10
DEQ  72  39  60  31  58 /  30  10   0   0   0
TXK  73  41  59  36  59 /  30   0  10  10   0
ELD  74  43  59  34  59 /  60  10  10  10  10
TYR  75  42  62  37  61 /  10   0   0   0  10
GGG  74  43  61  35  62 /  10   0   0  10   0
LFK  77  44  64  37  63 /  10   0   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>072.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ001>003.

OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>151.

&&

$$







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