Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 082012
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
212 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM...AS WINDS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO DIE DOWN UNTIL AROUND SUNSET.

NW FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER OUR REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AS AN
AMPLIFIED UPPER TROF DOMINATES THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS...AND AN
AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE WRN HALF. WITH DRY AIR IN
PLACE...TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY.

JET STREAM TO BECOME LESS AMPLIFIED AS WE MOVE INTO MIDWEEK...AND
ALTHOUGH WE WILL REMAIN UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT...LOW PRESSURE IN THE
SRN PLAINS WILL ALLOW FOR SLY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE REGION. THIS
WILL AID OUR TEMPS IN SOARING WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. HOWEVER...A DRY BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...AND COOL US BACK DOWN TO NEAR
NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016/

AVIATION...
THROUGH THE 08/18Z TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD...ENDING 09/18Z...EXPECTING
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES. MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND A LARGE SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION
AND NORTHEAST STATES...WILL PROVIDE CLOUDS/POSSIBLE CEILINGS
AROUND 6-9 KFT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST
15-25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO NEAR 37 KNOTS THROUGH 09/00Z WHEN
SPEEDS GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 10 KNOTS. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL ENTER THE FOUR STATE REGION ON TUESDAY RETURNING STRONG
BUT SLIGHTLY LOWER NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10-20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS
TO 17-25 KNOTS THROUGH 10/00Z. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  33  54  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  33  52  31  56 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  26  51  27  57 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  31  50  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  30  51  30  55 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  33  56  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  32  55  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  31  58  34  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070>073.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

12


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