Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 010233
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
933 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Fairly persistent conditions with the upper ridge resulting in 9
pm temps falling into the upper 70s and lower 80s. Expect
overnight lows around 70 north once again and lower to mid 70s
elsewhere as dewpoints remain mostly in the upper 60s to lower
70s. Very isold convection just outside cwa has diminished. No
update needed./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 624 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions occurring early this evening with light
East Southeast winds becoming variable at times. Could see
another round of brief VFR-MVFR fog developing at kmlu, klfk and
keld overnight as skies clear out and radiational cooling takes
place.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 411 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Very dry atmosphere for the last day of June resulted in limited
CU this afternoon with temperatures easily topping 90 degrees with
many areas reaching the mid 90s. This general pattern with prevail
into the long holiday weekend as the upper level ridge out west
begins to build back into the region. The only change will come by
way of returning southerly winds on Saturday and the subsequent
climb in humidity. This may warrant heat advisories for the latter
half of the holiday weekend to include the 4th of July on Monday.
However, the next chance of showers and thunderstorms will also
come back into play late Sunday through Independence Day as a
frontal boundary advances southward from the Plains. The question
is how far south will the front make it before being shunted east
by the Gulf coast ridge, which is still expected to be firmly in
place. Regardless, it does appear that scattered convection will
be a good bet at least for the I-30 corridor and possibly as far
south as the I-20 corridor. This could certainly impact outdoor
plans and festivities for the holiday on Monday.

The ridge looks to reestablish control by mid week with decreasing
rain chances and the potential for additional heat advisories as
we maintain deep southerly flow and high temperatures likely still
running in the mid 90s, possibly flirting with upper 90s for much
of next week. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  73  96  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  71  94  74  96 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  68  94  71  95 /  10  10  10  10
TXK  71  96  74  96 /  10  10  10  10
ELD  69  94  72  96 /  10  10  10  10
TYR  73  97  76  96 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  72  96  74  95 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  72  96  74  94 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$


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