225
FXUS65 KPUB 271004
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
304 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Our Thanksgiving forecast is looking beautiful with near
  normal temperatures, lots of sunshine, mainly light winds, and
  dry conditions.

- Above normal temperatures still on tap for Friday, then a
  quick blast of wintry weather for Friday night through Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Currently..

Mainly clear conditions over the region early this morning, with
just a few high clouds passing by. Temperatures have already fallen
into the low 20s on the plains as of 1 AM, and portions of the San
Luis Valley are already in the teens. Dewpoints are in the teens and
20s as well. Winds are mainly light, and are either following normal
drainage directions, or have a westerly component.

Today and Tonight..

The weather is looking beautiful for our Thanksgiving festivities
today. We`ll be just a few degrees warmer than we were yesterday,
with highs climbing into the upper 40s for mountain valleys, and 50s
on the plains. Our flow aloft becomes more and more westerly
throughout the day today, but winds remain fairly weak for most
areas. Gusts to 25 mph will be possible for higher peaks of the
central mountains, and gusts to 15 mph will be possible for most
other locations. Clear skies are likely through this morning, with
increasing high clouds over the region later this afternoon. Rain
and snow are not expected. Weather impacts are not expected for any
travel or feasting related plans you may have. Overnight lows
tonight will be near normal, and very similar to last nights
temperatures, with readings in the teens for mountain valleys, and
20s on the plains.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Friday...Little change to the expected weather for Friday, as an
approaching upper shortwave tightens the pressure gradient and
shifts the flow aloft to a more westerly direction. This will mean
increasing west to southwest flow at the surface, leading to above
normal temperatures across the eastern plains. A good amount of mid
and high level cloudiness is forecast through the first half of the
day however, so the high valleys may not cash in on the warmer
temps. Plan on highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s for the high
valleys, and mid 50s to mid 60s for the plains.

Friday night through Monday...The approaching system and associated
arctic cold front will quickly move across the Rocky Mt region
Friday night through Saturday morning, ushering in colder air and
limited precipitation, at least initially. With a more northern
track expected, this system really will favor the northern Colorado
mts, with the best precip chances for our forecast area being the
central mts and Palmer Divide. Remaining mts and adjacent plains may
see some isolated showers overnight into Sat morning, but again the
initial piece of this upper feature should move through quickly.
Brisk and cold north to northwest flow aloft will settle in for Sat
evening through Sun morning, then the next quick-moving, but
stronger, upper disturbance crosses Colorado through Monday. This
will bring a reinforcing blast of cold air, but even though the
expected track is more favorable for mt snow, it is somewhat
moisture-starved. What this means is that even though accumulating
snow is likely, latest projections for snow totals have decreased.
At this point, looks like the SW mts may need a highlight for Sunday
and Monday, but this is about it. As for the I-25 Corridor, best
chances for some precip will come Sunday night.

As for temps, each night Sat through Mon are trending to be very
cold, with Sun still looking like the coldest day of the extended
period. However, temperature trends have been warming ever so
slightly over the past couple of days. Plan on highs Sat in the
upper 30s to mid 40s for the high valleys, and 30s to near 40F for
the plains. On Sun, temps will climb into the 30s to near 40F for
the high valleys, and upper 20s to upper 30s for the plains. Mon
will see widespread 30s.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Models point to continued unsettled
conditions into the middle of the next work week, with expected high
temps around 10 degrees below normal both days. Current trends show
a somewhat dry day for Tue, then returning mt snow for Wed. Stay
tuned as this will likely change. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conditions are expected at all three TAF sites, KCOS, KPUB, and
KALS, for the next 24 hours. Diurnally driven winds and scattered
middle and upper-level cloud decks will prevail through the
period.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...EHR