492
FXUS65 KPUB 032332
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
432 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A storm system will move across the area Wednesday into
  Thursday morning with high elevation snow and rain on the
  Plains.

- Overall, temperatures remain mild in the 50s to 60s for the
  lower elevations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 1134 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

Currently...satellite imagery early this afternoon shows the
upper storm system that impacted the region yesterday continuing
to move eastward away from the area. Skies are clearing and dry
conditions will prevail through the remainder of the afternoon.
North winds continue to gust in excess of 30 mph out near the
Kansas border. Winds will relax later this afternoon as the
gradient eases. Temperatures this afternoon will top out in the
50s across the Plains and San Luis Valley.

Tonight...shortwave upper ridging will progress across Colorado
overnight, with quiet weather and generally clear skies.
Temperatures will fall into the 30s across much of the Plains
while the San Luis Valley falls into the 20s by morning.

Wednesday and Wednesday night...a quick moving upper low is
forecast to track east across Colorado during this period. A
cold front will arrive on Wednesday afternoon, bringing
northerly winds to the Plains. Model guidance is in good
agreement with the timing and trajectory of the upper low.
Expect showers to develop along the Continental Divide by
tomorrow afternoon, and spread southeast into the Eastern
Mountains and Plains by the evening hours. The primary focus
will be across the Central Mountains, where favorable
orographics will lead to a quick 3 to 6 inches by Thursday
morning. Slick, snow covered roads and poor visibility are
likely across the high passes of the Central Mountains. Across
the Plains, showers are forecast to spread southward behind the
cold front, banked along the Eastern Mountains, and south along
the Raton Mesa overnight. Snow levels will remain high, mainly
above 10 kft for the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountains, with 1
to 3 inches possible. High temperatures in the 50s ahead of the
cold front, will fall into the 30s and 40s overnight on the
Plains. That should keep precipitation liquid on the Plains,
with the exception of the Palmer Divide where a few flakes are
possible overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1134 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

Thursday through Saturday... As the Wed/Thurs system leaves our area
on Thursday, a brief period of ridging will bring quiet, dry
conditions on Thursday night and into Friday. A new system
approaches the area Friday afternoon, with a positively tilted upper
level trough in place over Colorado. This new system will be weaker
than the previous one, considering its unfavorable structure and
timing, leaving it with weak forcing and little moisture.
Precipitation is expected to be very meager with this system. Should
northwest flow strengthen, there is the possibility for snow
accumulation over the Central Mountains. We will continue to monitor
this system as it develops. By early Saturday, the system will be
exiting our area. Expect breezy and dry weather through the weekend
as the wave moves through. Near seasonal temps are forecast with
highs in the 50s and 60s and overnight lows in the 20s and 30s.

Sunday through Tuesday... After the weaker Fri/Sat system leaves our
area, ridging develops and dominates through the rest of the period.
Quiet, dry weather is expected across our CWA. Seasonal to above
seasonal temps are forecast as we get into early next week. Highs
will be in the 50s and 60s, with some locations in the plains having
the potential to get up to 70. Lows in the 20s and 30s, up to 40 in
the eastern plains.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 430 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB throughout
the forecast period. Generally light winds are expected with
diurnal orientation throughout the night and day. Slightly past
the forecast period lower clouds and precipitation chances
increase for KPUB and KCOS.


&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...SKELLY