683
FXUS63 KIWX 110504
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
104 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and warm through late week with highs well into the 80s
  and near 90 mid week.

- Soil moisture conditions will trend even drier this week with
  low humidity and no rainfall.

- There are low chance for rain this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

A strong ridge of high pressure will remain over the region
through the end of the week. This will keep the area dry and
temperatures will warm to near 90 degrees on Wednesday and
Thursday. Yet with mostly clear skies due to subsidence,
radiational cooling will drop overnight lows into the 50s. The
exception will be Thursday night, when increasing cloud cover
related to Tropical Storm Francine will keep temperatures
slightly warmer and in the low 60s.

Concerning Tropical Storm Francine, models are in agreement that
it will stay southwest of the local area on Friday, with the
main impacts being increased clouds and breezy winds, and
therefore somewhat cooler temperatures. Friday highs should only
be in the low 80s. Similar conditions can be expected on
Saturday, but models diverge as to whether we will see any rain
from this system. The GFS and ECMWF are mostly dry, but the
Canadian brings some light rain for the weekend. East coast
ridging then seems to build back in again for Monday and
Tuesday giving more confidence in drier weather. However, the
NBM is still keep some pops in through that time period, and
will maintain that forecast for consistency, but drier
conditions seem more probable.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 104 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

VFR ceilings and light winds perisit throughout the day as high
pressure builds over the area. Skies may appear hazy at times
due elevated wildfire smoke in the upper levels of the
atmosphere.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Cobb
AVIATION...Andersen/Johnson