380
FXUS62 KMLB 050600
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Mostly VFR conditions through today into tonight. Moisture
increases slightly today with onshore flow continuing. This may
lead to a little more convective development along the east coast
sea breeze as it pushes inland through the afternoon. A few
onshore moving showers will again be possible along the Treasure
Coast this morning, with isolated to scattered showers and storms
possible, especially across the interior through the afternoon.

Greatest potential for storms will be near boundary interactions
with the Lake Okeechobee breeze from mid to late afternoon inland
of the Treasure Coast, and across Lake County with the sea breeze
collision late day toward sunset. Any showers or storms that form
along the sea breeze collision may be able to shift back toward
the I-4 corridor into early evening, but this activity should then
gradually diminish. For now have kept any mention to VCSH from
KVRB-KSUA and also across KSFB/KMCO/KISM, with VCTS at KLEE from
22-02Z. Tempo IFR/MVFR conditions will be possible should any
storms develop or move across any terminals today into this
evening.

Light E/SE winds around 5-7 knots will become easterly around 10-13
knots with the inland moving sea breeze boundary this afternoon.
Winds then again diminish through late evening and overnight to 5
knots or less as they veer to the south.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 940 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Another quiet evening of weather is expected, due in part to high
pressure remaining over the area. Temperatures are falling into
the 70s and will largely remain in the 70s through daybreak
Wednesday. A few spots may fall briefly into the upper 60s, but
tonight`s forecast lows are just a couple of degrees warmer when
compared to last night. Onshore winds have lessened and will
become light overnight. A passing shower cannot be ruled out along
the Treasure Coast, especially toward sunrise, but most isolated
showers or storms are likely to remain offshore. Only minor
changes were made in this update, as the previous forecast remains
in good shape.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 330 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Generally favorable boating conditions will persist into this
weekend. However, daily shower and lightning storm chances are
forecast, with increased chances of offshore-moving activity late
week into the weekend. Otherwise, winds remaining under 15kts as
onshore flow veers southeasterly Thursday, then southerly Friday,
and offshore into the weekend. Seas 1-3ft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  89  73  95  72 /  40  20  60  30
MCO  94  74  96  74 /  60  20  80  20
MLB  89  74  92  73 /  60  30  80  40
VRB  90  73  92  72 /  60  20  70  30
LEE  95  75  95  75 /  50  30  70  20
SFB  94  74  97  74 /  50  20  80  20
ORL  95  75  97  75 /  60  20  80  20
FPR  90  72  93  72 /  60  20  70  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
AVIATION...Weitlich