Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 200920
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
320 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 319 AM CST MON NOV 20 2017

This forecast period will feature a very quiet weather pattern with
no period of precipitation expected in the next 7 days. Temperatures
on the other hand will be a little more variable through the next
week. Today will be one of the warmer days of the week with strong
WAA out ahead of an approaching cold front. Highs will rise into the
upper 50s to mid 60s with breezy SSW winds. Tonight a cold front
will move through the area with strong CAA behind it. This will keep
highs on Tuesday ranging from the mid 40s across the north to the
mid 50s across the south. Canadian surface high pressure will move
into the area Tuesday night making for the coldest night in the
forecast period with lows in the upper teens to mid 20s. High
pressure will remain over the area on Wednesday keep temperatures
cool with highs only reaching the upper 30s to mid 40s. A warming
trend is then expected for the second half of the work week as WAA
returns in the wake of the departing surface high. Highs by Friday
will rise into the 60s. On Friday night a upper level trough digging
from the Canadian Plains into the Great Lakes will force another
cold front through the forecast area. Again, no precipitation is
expected with the frontal passage but temperatures will return
closer to seasonal normals on Saturday with highs in the low to mid
50s. Surface high pressure then moves back into the area on Saturday
night and Sunday with highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
Issued at 1126 PM CST SUN NOV 19 2017

A few passing but very thin, high-based clouds will result in the
continuation of VFR conditions through the forecast period. South
southwest winds will remain sustained at around 11-12 kts through
sunrise, then will increase to sustained speeds between 15-20 kts
with occasional gusts to 30 kts from late morning through late
afternoon. Low-level turbulence or sub-criteria LLWS remains
possible before gustiness increases after sunrise, but consistent
direction and gradual speed increases should prevent a TAF mention
from being warranted.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...73
Aviation...Laflin


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