Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KEAX 281106
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
606 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 357 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

A surface cold front has pushed through the area as of Wednesday
with relatively cool and dry air settling into place. Low level
stratus associated with the back side of the upper low will linger
across northern Missouri today. A thermal gradient will establish
north and south of the Missouri River today with northwesterly
surface flow and cloud cover keeping high temperatures across the
northern counties in the upper 50s to low 60s, with temperatures
south reaching the low 70s by the afternoon. Thursday will be
pleasant with dry conditions expected and comfortable temperatures
throughout the day.

Storm chances will return early Friday morning for eastern Kansas
and western Missouri while expanding eastward as another trough
deepens over the desert southwest. During this time a surface low
will trek from the Texas panhandle northeast and ultimately center
over northwestern Missouri by Saturday morning. Warm air advection
ahead of this feature will likely produce widespread showers with
embedded thunderstorms Friday afternoon with increasing chances
overnight as the attendant cold front approaches western Missouri.
Lingering activity will continue through much of Saturday will
decreasing pops through Sunday afternoon. Still not anticipating
much in the way of severe this far north, though this potential will
need to monitored, specifically for areas south of I-70.

As the trough works its way east by the early week, it will be
absorbed into a deeper low just north of the Great Lakes region and
swing southwest near the area. As this feature deepens, could see
additional showers in the early week for the southern CWA. Aside
from this, the first half of the upcoming week looks dry for most
areas as a mid-level ridge builds across the Central Plains by the
mid-week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 600 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

MVFR stratus will linger through the early to mid-morning hours
before moving east of the terminal sites into the afternoon. VFR
conditions will then continue through the remainder of the forecast
period with winds becoming northwesterly with time. Cloud cover will
build back into the region late tonight ahead of the next storm
system. Precipitation chances with this system may affect the very
end of the period though low confidence in this occurring will
exclude mention in the forecast for now. Better precipitation chances
with some isolated thunder will commence Friday afternoon.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

$$

Discussion...Welsh
Aviation...Welsh


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.