Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sioux Falls, SD

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FXUS63 KFSD 150803

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
303 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The upper level trough continues to pull away from the region and
the remaining shower activity has exited our area to the east. Lower
levels of the atmosphere remain saturated enough that status remains
along and east of I-29 as of 3 am. Clouds will continue to shift
east and should be largely void of our counties around sunrise or
shortly after. Winds, which have been gusty overnight, will also be
on the decrease. We then begin our long stretch of dry weather and
plenty of sunshine. Enough cooler air remains, and with west-
northwest winds, highs will still remain a couple degrees on the
cool side of normal, generally in the mid 50s to low 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Not much to speak of as far as impactful weather in the extended
forecast. The cold front that brought our weather Saturday will
continue to drive south toward the Gulf of Mexico and take with it
our moisture tap. Aloft, the region will sit under increasingly
zonal flow with no mention of any rainfall at least into next
weekend. Perhaps the most notable story through this period will be
the seasonably warm temperatures that will be anywhere from 10-15
degrees above normal. Given the impressive 925 and 850 mb
temperature profiles, increased high temperatures over the populated
Superblend values. Low temperatures will also slowly climb through
the week, back into the low 50s by Friday. Otherwise look for sunny
skies and occasionally breezy periods.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

MVFR ceilings at KFSD and KSUX will lift by 08Z, with
northwesterly winds gusting to around 25 to 30 kts decreasing
after 10Z. With clearing skies by late night, the remainder of the
TAF period will have VFR conditions.




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