Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 270908
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
408 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2016

.SHORT TERM ...Today through Tuesday night

Intensity of the slow moving convection continues to wane at this
time as the low levels continue to destabilize. High PWAT air mass
combined with the almost non existent steering currents resulted in
some locally heavy rain over the SW part of the CWA.

Coverage of the the of SHRA/TSRA should continue to decrease this
morning. However, an upper level shortwave, located over southwest
Missouri at this time, will be dropping SE over the county warning
forecast area today.

Scattered SHRA/TSRA are expected once again to develop as this wave
moves through with high end chance to low end likely pops justified.
The short term, high resolution models did a good job overnight with
the precipitation and will follow their lead. Not everyone will see
precipitation through out the day. As a result of these increased
rain chances and cloud cover, temperatures will actually be cooler
than what has been seen of late, especially across the north.

Higher precipitation chances will drop to the south tonight and
Tuesday as this upper wave drops south of the state. The well
advertised cold front will be located along the Missouri border by
Tuesday morning and forecast to move through the state during the
day with a secondary boundary on its heels. Temperatures should
continue in the mid 80s to mid 90s on Tuesday with cooler and drier
conditions on their way in the wake of the second boundary.
&&

.LONG TERM...Wednesday Through Sunday

The upper ridge will be over the western U.S. to begin the
period, and an upper trough will be over the east coast. This will
provide a northwest flow over Arkansas. This pattern will continue
through the long term period.

Several short waves will move through the northwest flow Wednesday
night and through the weekend. This, along with a front meandering
around northern Louisiana and southern Arkansas, will bring increased
rain chances for the latter half of the week. Also, cooler
temperatures are anticipated through Friday, then a warming trend
begins on Saturday.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     88  69  90  67 /  60  20  10  10
Camden AR         93  73  92  71 /  50  40  40  10
Harrison AR       84  66  88  65 /  50  20  10  10
Hot Springs AR    91  73  91  71 /  50  30  20  10
Little Rock   AR  91  73  92  72 /  60  30  20  10
Monticello AR     93  74  90  72 /  50  40  40  10
Mount Ida AR      90  71  90  68 /  50  30  20  10
Mountain Home AR  85  67  89  65 /  50  10  10  10
Newport AR        89  71  91  69 /  60  20  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     91  73  90  71 /  60  30  30  10
Russellville AR   89  71  92  70 /  50  30  10  10
Searcy AR         90  71  91  69 /  60  20  20  10
Stuttgart AR      90  73  91  71 /  60  30  20  10
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...56 / Long Term...51


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.