Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 251948
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
248 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Wednesday
Data from local radars continue to indicate southward progression
of convection...affecting mainly west central portions of the
forecast area. This activity has formed in a highly
unstable...weakly sheared...and very moist atmosphere. This
activity is expected to have a pronounced diurnal component.
However...a stationary boundary across southern Missouri will
still be able to provide at least weak forcing for additional
convective development overnight.

The boundary is expected to remaining stationary during the rest
of this period. Along with strong instability...conditions will
remain favorable for several rounds of additional convective
development.

Near normal temperatures are expected during this period.

&&

.LONG TERM...Wednesday Night Through Monday
The early part of the extended forecast will be dominated by a bit
of a trough aloft...as ridging sets up on both the east and west
coasts. This upper level weakness, coupled with a weak quasi-
stationary frontal boundary in the vicinity of northern AR, will
make for lower max temps and increased chances for precipitation.

On Thursday many locations across the state will struggle to make
90, and POPs look fairly good in the 50-60 pct range.

Ridging will start building again by Sunday, and max temps will
start to climb significantly again, with POPs dropping back down to
climo averages.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     92  74  92  73 /  50  30  40  30
Camden AR         93  74  97  74 /  50  40  30  20
Harrison AR       88  72  87  71 /  50  40  40  30
Hot Springs AR    92  75  95  74 /  50  40  30  20
Little Rock   AR  94  75  96  76 /  50  40  30  20
Monticello AR     94  76  96  75 /  50  40  30  20
Mount Ida AR      91  73  93  73 /  50  40  30  20
Mountain Home AR  90  73  89  72 /  50  40  40  30
Newport AR        93  75  94  75 /  50  30  40  30
Pine Bluff AR     93  74  95  74 /  50  40  30  20
Russellville AR   92  75  93  74 /  50  40  30  30
Searcy AR         93  75  95  74 /  50  40  30  20
Stuttgart AR      93  76  95  75 /  50  40  30  20
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...55 / Long Term...53


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