Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 182341
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
641 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.AVIATION...
SC DISSIPATING 2-3 HOURS AFTER SUNSET. VFR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD EXCEPT FOR PATCHY MFFR DUE TO FOG FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND
SUNRISE SAT.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THERE
WILL BE SCATTERED CUMULUS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 5000 FEET. THE
CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET. IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR
TONIGHT/SATURDAY...WITH MAYBE A FEW HIGH CLOUDS.

WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NORTHEAST AT 6 TO 12 MPH. WINDS TONIGHT
WILL BE LIGHT/VARIABLE...WITH WINDS SATURDAY MORNING VARYING FROM
NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AN UPPER RIDGE
IS BUILDING OVER THE PLAINS. THIS RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH
SUNDAY. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL RETURN...AND THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO INCREASE AS WELL. AN
UPPER TROUGH IN THE ROCKIES SUNDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS MONDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIET OVER ARKANSAS SATURDAY AND FOR
MUCH OF SUNDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY BUT CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE THROUGH THE
STATE MONDAY AND MAY STALL. MONDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE OUT
OF THE STATE AND THE RAIN WILL END BEHIND IT. THE WARMING TREND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY WILL EXIT TO THE
EAST TO BEGIN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE...WITH
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENDING TUESDAY. WHILE FAIR
WEATHER RETURNS...A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DIG INTO THE ROCKIES...
WHICH WILL RESULT IN RIDGING ACROSS THE PLAINS. IT WILL BE QUITE
MILD TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE
FORECAST. THE PERIOD WILL END WITH LOW PRESSURE FORMING IN KANSAS IN
RESPONSE TO THE ROCKIES SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WELL TO THE
NORTH OF ARKANSAS...BUT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE REGION.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     48  75  51  76 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         50  79  54  80 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       46  75  52  75 /   0   0   0  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    50  77  55  78 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  52  77  55  79 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     51  78  53  79 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      46  76  52  77 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  46  76  51  76 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        48  76  51  77 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     51  76  54  78 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   48  77  53  78 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         48  76  49  76 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      51  76  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...28





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