Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 202304 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
604 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE DOMINANT THROUGH THE PERIOD AS UPPER
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. OTHER THAN SOME
AFTERNOON CU...SOME PATCHY FOG COULD BE SEEN ACROSS THE SRN SITES
AROUND SUNRISE THU. HOWEVER...POTENTIAL IS TOO LOW TO MENTION AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

THE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER ARKANSAS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. SUBSIDENCE WILL
INCREASE OVER THE AREA AND SUPPRESS MOST IF NOT ALL PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPMENT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA...TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY WARM. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE
SOUTHEAST...WHERE THEY WILL REACH 100 TO 105 DEGREES IN THE
AFTERNOONS.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE HOLDING STRONG TO START THE
PERIOD OFF...WITH RESULTING HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S FOR MOST AREAS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WITH SUCH HOT CONDITIONS...DESPITE HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO THOUGH RAIN WILL BE KEPT FROM THE FORECAST.

THERE IS A GOOD DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH IT SEEMS IT WILL HAVE
LITTLE CONSEQUENCE ON ARKANSAS WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL WEAKEN TUE AND WED AND ALLOW
A BIT MORE MOISTURE TO WORK INTO THE STATE FROM THE SOUTH...THUS
YIELDING SOME SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH
AFTERNOONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     75  97  77  99 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         75  97  76  99 /  20  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       73  95  73  97 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    75  95  76  97 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  75  96  76  98 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     75  96  77  98 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      73  94  74  96 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  73  97  74  99 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        75  96  75  98 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     75  96  76  98 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   74  97  74  99 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         74  96  74  97 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      74  95  74  97 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...62




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