Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 261130 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
630 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

.AVIATION...

MVFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER ALL OF NORTHERN
AND PARTS OF CENTRAL AR. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN
AR. ALSO A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH AR TODAY
AND SWITCH WINDS FROM THE S TO THE NW TO N THEN EVENTUALLY N TO NE.
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE FROM 5 TO 15 MPH. LATE IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING...THE MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO THIN AND RAISE TO VFR
CONDITIONS. LATE EVENING...ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BE SEEN OVER SW AR.
(59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015/

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF STRATUS MOVING INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS...BEHIND A COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. THE CLOUD COVER
WILL GRADUALLY LIFT TODAY...BUT WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS
FOR MUCH OF THE MORNING. CLOUDS ARE ALSO MOVING NORTH FROM THE GULF
COAST...BUT WILL NOT BLOCK MUCH OF THE SUNSHINE ACROSS THE SOUTH
TODAY.

LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME CLOSED OFF
LATER TODAY...AND SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH MID WEEK. AS THE UPPER
JET MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LIFT TO
PRODUCE SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT THAT
WILL SLOW DOWN/STALL OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATER TODAY. SOME SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE IS INDICATING A MORE EASTWARD TREND OF CONVECTION THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ADDED ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FAR
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON.

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE AS STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA MOVE EAST. THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS...WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

AS THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY MOVES EAST...RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE...BUT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL BECOME MORE ISOLATED.
RAIN AMOUNTS THROUGH MID WEEK WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 1.5 INCHES
FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER...WITH AMOUNTS MUCH LESS
ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AREA WIDE WEDNESDAY...AND WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

OVERALL THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DRY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
NORMAL VALUES. ON THURSDAY THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS MOVING
OUT OF THE  REGION...AS SURFACE AND UPPER HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY
BUILD IN THROUGH FRIDAY. ON SATURDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES MORE SE OF AR BUT REMAINS THE MAIN INFLUENCE OVER THE REGION.
THIS PATTERN WILL BRING PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE
DAY... WHILE PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE START A BIT COOLER THAN NORMAL...THEN WARM TO
AT OR A BIT ABOVE NORMAL VALUES IN THE WEEKEND.
&&


.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58 / LONG TERM...59







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.