National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
000
FXUS64 KLZK 190750
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
250 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY

LIGHT TO CALM WINDS OCCURRING EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS ALL OF THE
CWA...AND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...SOME PATCHY FOG WAS BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP. OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE...WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW
60S TO LOW 70S. EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP A FEW MORE DEGREES BY
SUNRISE...WITH AREAS OF PATCHY FOG.

COLD FRONT STALLED TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR PRECIP THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE CWA TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...HAVE MENTIONED
LOW END SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS SOME OF THE NRN AND NERN COUNTIES
AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE AREA. A SIMILAR SITUATION WILL
BE SEEN TOMORROW AS PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN FAIRLY LOW...WITH ONLY
SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTH AND NWRN COUNTIES AS AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE ROTATES AROUND THE NORTH EDGE OF THE UPPER RIDGE
TO THE SW OVER SWRN TX. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE NWRN
COUNTIES...BUT ISOLATED ACTIVITY CANNOT BE RULED OUT ELSEWHERE.
DIURNALLY DRIVEN ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BE THE MAIN
PRECIP POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD AS NO SIGNIFICANT
FORCING OR DISTURBANCES WILL BE MOVING OVER THE REGION AS THE UPPER
RIDGE TO THE SW BEGINS EXPANDING INTO AR.

TEMPS WILL WARM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S...THEN A
FEW DEGREES WARMER BY THU AND PERSISTING IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S
INTO SAT. LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S EACH MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MODELS CONT TO INDC A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN ACRS THE MID SOUTH
THRU THE PD. HIGH PRES ALOFT WL PERSIST ACRS THE SOUTHERN STATES.
ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA WL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY DURG THE AFTN AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE LIMITED COVERAGE EXPECTED...DRY
CONDS WL CONT TO BE INDCD. TEMPS WL RMN CLOSE TO OR JUST ABV NORMAL
LVLS...WITH HIGH IN THE UPR 80S TO MID 90S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE
UPR 60S TO MID 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     88  66  91  66 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         92  66  93  68 /  10  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       86  64  86  67 /  10  10  20  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    90  68  91  71 /  10  10  20  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  90  68  92  70 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     91  67  92  69 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      89  64  91  68 /  10  10  20  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  87  64  89  66 /  10  10  20  10
NEWPORT AR        89  67  92  67 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     91  68  93  69 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   89  65  91  67 /  10  10  20  10
SEARCY AR         90  65  92  66 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      91  68  93  70 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...44
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
