Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 280506
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1206 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

.AVIATION...
Clear skies will continue over Arkansas through the period. A cold
front will pass through the state Wednesday afternoon and evening.
No rain is expected with this front, nor clouds, but a wind shift
is expected. South and southwest winds will become north behind
the front.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 612 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016
)

AVIATION...
SKC conditions will prevail during this period. Will see a gusty
WSW wind of 9-13 kts across northern and sections during the late
morning and afternoon, developing in association with the
previously mentioned cold frontal passage.

55

PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 244 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday

Dry weather with seasonal temperatures is the story for the day on
Tuesday as the region continues to be under WNW/NW flow aloft as
we sit on the southwest periphery of a deep upper level low. At
the surface, a light northerly (or even variable) wind will
persist as we sit between surface troughing and a high pressure
centered near the low Rio Grande valley. Even with plenty of
insolation, weak winds through the PBL will keep winds light at
the surface.

WV imagery continues to show the aforementioned upper level low
digging into the Great Lakes region from Canada. A shortwave
rotating around this upper low will be responsible for a
reinforcing shot of colder air on Wednesday. Some warm air
advection ahead of the cold front will be responsible for a brief
warming trend, as we`ll see highs back in the mid 80s tomorrow for
much of the southern half of the state. The front will cross the
state through the day on Wednesday. While some ascent will occur,
deep-layer dry air (PWATS < 1 inch) will shunt any possibility of
precipitation. Temperatures following the front will be near, or
even a little below seasonal, with highs in the 70s and lows in
the 50s.

LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday

Period will start out fairly pleasant, with the area in northwest
flow aloft, and temperatures close to average. By the late weekend,
the flow will flatten out, and surface winds will gain more of a
southerly component. This will allow temperatures to gradually warm
into next week. There will be little if any chances for rain.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$


Aviation...51


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