Issued by NWS Anchorage, AK
000 FXAK68 PAFC 212250 AFDAFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 500 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2009 CHANGING PATTERN CONTINUES DUE TO STRONG STORM MOVING ALONG THE SOUTHERN BERING. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS PRIBILOFS SPCLY PASN AS TIGHT LOW CENTER MOVES BY TO THEIR SOUTH. WARMER AIR AND RAIN FORECAST EARLIER TRIED BUT COULDN`T MATERALIZE DUE TO STORMS SOUTHERN TRACK. AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHERLY LATER TONIGHT SNOW FALL SHOULD BECOME MORE SHOWERY AND TEMPERATURES WILL FALL AGAIN AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. BLIZZARD WARNING NOW OUT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST FROM THE WESTERN CAPES OF ZONE 161 NORTH ACROSS NUNIVAK ISLAND. LATEST GFS RUN MAINTAINES THE STORMS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES TO WESTERN BRISTOL BAY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOW THEN WEAKENS FASTER AND IT MOVES INTO KUSKOKWIM BAY MONDAY AFTERNOON. SLOW MOVEMENT AND TRACK OF THE LOW SHOULD RESULT IN A PRETTY GOOD SNOWFALL ACROSS BOTH ZONES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. GULF LOW HANDELED PRETTY WELL BY MODELS BUT THE NEXT ONE THAT ROLLS UP ON THUESDAY IS MORE QUESTIONABLE. LASTEST EC RUN OR THE PERVIOUS GFS RUN ARE USED BY THE GRID DESKS. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONE 155 AND WESTERN CAPES OF 161. MARINE...STORM AREAS 176..172..175. GALE AREAS 150..155..160..165..180..170..171..185..179. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. PERCY NOV 09
