Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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078
FNUS52 KILM 271919
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore will bring a warming and drying trend
into and thru the weekend. A weakening and lingering cold front
may bring a few showers or a thunderstorm tonight into Friday. Daily
highs and lows today thru Sunday will run 10 to 15 degrees above
normal. Isolated sea breeze convection will be possible Friday and
Sunday, however a better shot of convection will occur late Mon into
early Tue due to a cold frontal passage. Weak high pressure will take
hold during the middle of next week before a more substantial frontal
system brings increased potential for decent rainfall Thursday into
Friday.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-281130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           88           69           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         SW  8        S  8         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW 11 G21    S  7         S 10 G21
Precip amount         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             2000         73/0800      2000         73/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           54           98           51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3770                      3920
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 20
Ventilation rate                   64090                     78400
ADI early             53 Gen good  50 Gen good  38 Fair      69 Good
ADI late              9 poor       45 Gen good  6 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            8
Max LVORI late        5            2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-281130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           88           69           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW  6        S  8         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S  8         S  6         S  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             2000         72/0800      2000         73/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           49           100          49
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4840                      4150
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SW 17
Ventilation rate                   67760                     70550
ADI early             54 Gen good  36 Fair      50 Gen good  66 Good
ADI late              7 poor       55 Gen good  5 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-281130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           89           68           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         SW  5        S  7         S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         SW  8        S  6         S 10
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         70/0800      2000         72/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           49           99           48
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5180                      4370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 18
Ventilation rate                   77700                     78660
ADI early             50 Gen good  33 Fair      45 Gen good  57 Gen good
ADI late              8 poor       69 Good      5 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
35 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-281130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           89           70           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 12         SW  7        S 10 G20     S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         S 12 G23     S  7         S 10
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             2000         73/0800      2000         73/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        92           53           98           51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4080                      4590
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 18
Ventilation rate                   65280                     82620
ADI early             59 Gen good  36 Fair      28 Fair      72 Good
ADI late              12 poor      40 Fair      6 Very poor  73 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-281130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           90           69           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10         SW  5        S  8         S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  9         S  6         S  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         71/0800      2000         72/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           46           99           47
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4680                      4480
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 18
Ventilation rate                   70200                     80640
ADI early             53 Gen good  32 Fair      50 Gen good  71 Good
ADI late              9 poor       60 Gen good  5 Very poor  74 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            9
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-281130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
319 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           89           68           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10         SW  5        S  7         S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW  8        S  5         S 10
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             2000         69/0800      2000         71/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           44           98           46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5120                      4420
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 17
Ventilation rate                   76800                     75140
ADI early             52 Gen good  25 Fair      45 Gen good  62 Good
ADI late              8 poor       66 Good      4 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
33 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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