Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 171847
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will continue to cover the eastern United
States through the week. Hurricane Jose is expected to move
north between the North Carolina coast and Bermuda through
Monday. Temperatures should warm well above normal by Wednesday.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-181100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           83           65           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        N  8         N  6         NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  7         N  8         N  5         NW  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         70/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          58           96           51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4890                      4820
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      NW 12
Ventilation rate                   73350                     57840
ADI early             28 Fair      39 Fair      35 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              7 poor       66 Good      4 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            7
Max LVORI late        8            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-181100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           83           65           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        N  7         N  5         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  5         N  8         N  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         70/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           98           48
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5130                      5050
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      NW  9
Ventilation rate                   76950                     45450
ADI early             38 Fair      40 Fair      35 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  66 Good      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
and variable wind.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-181100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           84           64           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        N  8         N  5         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  5         N  9         N  3         W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         70/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           55           98           48
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4990                      4940
Transport wnd (mph)                N 13                      NW  8
Ventilation rate                   64870                     39520
ADI early             58 Gen good  40 Fair      33 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  60 Gen good  2 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-181100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           86           65           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        N  8         N  5         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         N  8         N  3         NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           55           97           50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4890                      4660
Transport wnd (mph)                N 14                      NW  7
Ventilation rate                   68460                     32620
ADI early             35 Fair      42 Gen good  35 Fair      26 Fair
ADI late              7 poor       66 Good      2 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            7
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-181100-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           85           65           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        N  7         N  5         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  5         N  8         N  4         W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           52           97           48
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5010                      4720
Transport wnd (mph)                N 10                      NW  8
Ventilation rate                   50100                     37760
ADI early             63 Good      35 Fair      30 Fair      27 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  53 Gen good  2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-181100-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
247 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           86           64           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        N  7         N  5         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  5         N  8         N  4         W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           49           97           47
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5400                      5420
Transport wnd (mph)                N 12                      NW  9
Ventilation rate                   64800                     48780
ADI early             57 Gen good  30 Fair      32 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  49 Gen good  3 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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