Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 231004
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
504 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS
NORTHERN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE ALONG
THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT... BRINGING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY SATURDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY...BEFORE AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
BRINGS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED LATE WEEK AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE GULF STATES.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-240215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
504 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          58           43           53
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  9        SE 11 G23    NW 12 G23
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  8         SW 16 G26    W 14 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.24         0.43
PRECIP DURATION       4            12           5
INVERSION             50/1000      2000         52/0600
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           100          73
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1720                      3590
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      W 20
VENTILATION RATE      24080                     71800
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      21 FAIR      55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
504 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          51           39           50
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  8        NE 10        NW 11 G20
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  9         W  8         W 13 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         1.24         0.31
PRECIP DURATION       5            12           4
INVERSION             45/1100      2000         49/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        65           100          74
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1340                      3520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      W 18
VENTILATION RATE      18760                     63360
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  37 FAIR
ADI LATE              21 FAIR      11 POOR      48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ055-056-240215-
INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
504 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          58           47           55
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 11        S 14 G23     NW 14 G25
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E 11         SW 17 G29    W 15 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         1.20         0.24
PRECIP DURATION       6            12           4
INVERSION             51/0600      2000         54/0600
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           100          66
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1470                      4370
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      W 21
VENTILATION RATE      22050                     91770
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      20 GEN POOR  53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              19 GEN POOR  21 FAIR      63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
504 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          53           40           51
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  9        E 10         NW 11 G21
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E 10         NW  8        W 13 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         1.09         0.16
PRECIP DURATION       5            12           4
INVERSION             45/0600      2000         49/1400
MIN/MAX RH (%)        63           100          71
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1170                      3860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      W 18
VENTILATION RATE      17550                     69480
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  35 FAIR
ADI LATE              21 FAIR      12 POOR      50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053-054-240215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY
504 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          58           44           53
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        SE 11        NW 13 G22
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E 11         SW 13 G22    W 14 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         1.23         0.28
PRECIP DURATION       5            12           4
INVERSION             49/0900      2000         52/0600
MIN/MAX RH (%)        63           100          70
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1300                      3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 16                      W 20
VENTILATION RATE      20800                     77800
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              25 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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