Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 261912
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Drier weather will work into the area behind a cold front into Thursday.
Showers and thunderstorms will become numerous Friday into Saturday
ahead of an unseasonably strong cold front. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible later Friday and Friday night. Much
drier air is expected in the wake of this system early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-271115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
312 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            4
Min/Max Temp          70           91           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         S  7         S  4         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             2000         79/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           50           96           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5930                      3720
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      SW 13
Ventilation rate                   41510                     48360
ADI early             31 Fair      16 Gen poor  21 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  27 Fair      4 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-271115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            4
Min/Max Temp          69           90           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip duration                                              4
Inversion             2000         77/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          51           97           55
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5990                      3770
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   41930                     33930
ADI early             24 Fair      17 Gen poor  25 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  31 Fair      7 poor       33 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           5            6
Max LVORI late        10           2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-271115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
312 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            20           60
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            1            2            4
Min/Max Temp          72           91           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         SE  3        S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         S  7         SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.12
Precip duration       1                         1            4
Inversion             2000         79/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           97           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5560                      3590
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      SW 12
Ventilation rate                   44480                     43080
ADI early             30 Fair      21 Fair      24 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  37 Fair      5 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            6
Max LVORI late        10           2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-271115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
312 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            60
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
LAL                   3            1            1            4
Min/Max Temp          71           91           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.11
Precip duration       0                                      4
Inversion             2000         79/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           97           55
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5570                      3550
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   38990                     31950
ADI early             29 Fair      20 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  43 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  34 Fair      7 poor       42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            7
Max LVORI late        10           2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-271115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
312 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            4
Min/Max Temp          70           91           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11
Precip duration                                              4
Inversion             2000         76/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          51           96           53
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5520                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   38640                     32400
ADI early             26 Fair      16 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  43 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  29 Fair      8 poor       40 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           5            6
Max LVORI late        10           2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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