Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 200900
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
500 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG A LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
TODAY...PUSHING OFFSHORE LATE THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY...BRINGING DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION
OVER THE WEEKEND. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
BRINGING A RETURN IN HUMIDITY BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW AT THE COAST MODERATE INLAND

NCZ105>110-210100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
500 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           65           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         SE  5        SE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        SE  5        S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             76/1000      2000         76/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           99           47
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5930                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW 22
VENTILATION RATE      35580                     121000
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR  50 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
500 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           65           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         SE  3        SE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         SE  4        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
INVERSION             75/1000      2000         75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        41           100          47
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7420                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      SW 20
VENTILATION RATE      14840                     128000
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  28 FAIR
ADI LATE              25 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-210100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
500 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           67           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         S  5         S  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        SE  4        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.15         0.16
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3
INVERSION             78/1000      2000         77/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           100          51
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6210                      5810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     W 23
VENTILATION RATE      31050                     133630
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      15 GEN POOR  31 FAIR
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  80 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-210100-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
500 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           66           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         SE  4        S  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  3         SE  3        W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.09         0.16
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2
INVERSION             77/1000      2000         77/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           100          47
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7510                      6770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     W 24
VENTILATION RATE      22530                     162480
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              17 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  84 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-210100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
500 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           65           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         SE  3        S  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        SE  4        W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17
PRECIP DURATION                    0            2
INVERSION             75/1000      2000         75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        40           100          46
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   8030                      6960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  1                     W 20
VENTILATION RATE      8030                      139200
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

99


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