Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 150941
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
441 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure off the coast will result in well above normal
temperatures through Friday. A cold front will move through the
area Friday night, followed by cool high pressure for the
weekend. Warm southerly winds will develop early next week and
result in a significant warmup. A cold front will approach the
area by Wednesday.

Fog potential for tonight...Low inland and moderate at the coast

SCZ054>056-058-059-160145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
441 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           40
Precip type           None         None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A
Min/Max Temp          58           79           50           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW 10 G21    W  6         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW 12 G22    N  5         E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.05
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           85           74
DSI                                2
Haines Index          4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4650
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      N/A
Ventilation rate                   102300
ADI early             9 poor       68 Good      12 poor
ADI late              7 poor       65 Good      12 poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            3
Max LVORI late        7            2            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-160145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
441 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           40           50
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A
Min/Max Temp          62           80           49           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10        SW 12 G22    NW  6        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        W 13 G23     NE  5        E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.08
Precip duration                    0            2            2
Inversion             None         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        92           51           80           72
DSI                                2
Haines Index          3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5360
Transport wnd (mph)                W 24                      N/A
Ventilation rate                   128640
ADI early             43 Gen good  94 Good      31 Fair
ADI late              35 Fair      89 Good      31 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            2
Max LVORI late        4            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-160145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
441 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           50
Precip type           None         None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A
Min/Max Temp          59           80           46           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        SW 10        NW  5        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW 11 G20    NE  5        NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.06
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           51           85           73
DSI                                2
Haines Index          3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5150
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      N/A
Ventilation rate                   113300
ADI early             10 poor      74 Good      26 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       71 Good      26 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            3
Max LVORI late        6            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-160145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
441 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           40           50
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A
Min/Max Temp          60           80           46           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10        SW 12 G22    NW  6        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW 12 G23    NE  5        E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.08
Precip duration                    0            2            2
Inversion             None         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           51           84           72
DSI                                2
Haines Index          3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5550
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      N/A
Ventilation rate                   138750
ADI early             36 Fair      90 Good      35 Fair
ADI late              25 Fair      86 Good      35 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            3
Max LVORI late        5            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-160145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
441 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           40
Precip type           None         None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A
Min/Max Temp          59           80           51           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW 11 G22    NW  7        E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW 13 G23    NE  5        E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.05
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           51           80           72
DSI                                2
Haines Index          3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5230
Transport wnd (mph)                W 23                      N/A
Ventilation rate                   120290
ADI early             35 Fair      81 Good      23 Fair
ADI late              22 Fair      79 Good      23 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            3
Max LVORI late        5            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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