Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 250051
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
851 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE FLORIDA STRAITS WILL CONTINUE
EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BAHAMAS INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW
N/NE WINDS TO BECOME N/NW AND DECREASE ACROSS THE REGION. JUST
ABOVE THE SFC LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN N/NE AND WILL CONTINUE
TO TRANSPORT MARINE STRATOCU ONTO THE COAST WITH SKIES RANGING
FROM PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT. WHILE FARTHER INLAND SKIES
WILL ALTERNATE BETWEEN MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. DESPITE
LOCAL WRF AND HRRR WANTING TO GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT NOT SEEING ANY EVIDENCE ON RADAR OF LIGHT
PRECIP WITH THIS LOWER CLOUD DECK. ALSO MOS POPS REMAIN QUITE LOW
SO WILL THEREFORE KEEP RAIN CHANCES OUT OF THE FORECAST TONIGHT.
TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S OVER MUCH OF THE
INTERIOR AND VOLUSIA COAST. SCATTERED CLOUDS AND LOW LEVEL ONSHORE
WINDS SOUTH OF THE CAPE SHOULD KEEP MIN TEMPS FROM FALLING LOWER
THAN THE LOW/MID 60S.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS. CIGS FROM ONSHORE
MOVING MARINE STRATOCU FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 3KFT.


&&

.MARINE...WINDS AT SETTLEMENT POINT STILL NEAR 20 KNOTS AND NAM
GUIDANCE INDICATING SOME INCREASE IN N/NE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE
SRN WATERS INTO TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES E/NE OVER THE
BAHAMAS. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 7 FEET...
MAINLY OVER THE GULF STREAM WATERS OF THE TREASURE COAST. WILL
THEREFORE CONTINUE SCA HEADLINES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF
SEBASTIAN INLET OVERNIGHT. FARTHER NORTH...N/NE WINDS UP TO 10-15
KNOTS EXPECTED WITH SEAS UP TO 3-5 FEET.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM
     SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

WEITLICH/PENDERGRAST






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