Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 011326
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
926 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-TONIGHT...QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL DRAPED
NORTH-SOUTH OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS MORNING. THE CLAIM TO
FAME FOR THIS BOUNDARY IS SEPARATION OF DRIER DEWPOINTS TO THE WEST
AND MORE MOIST AIR TO THE EAST. THE 10Z KXMR SOUNDING SHOWS A MOIST
ATMOSPHERE WITH A 2.15" PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE. DRIER AIR DOES
REMAIN ALOFT WITH A 700 MB TEMPERATURE OF +10.4C AND A 500 MB
TEMPERATURE OF -6.5C. CONVECTION ALREADY ONGOING OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE TREASURE COAST
THROUGH LATE MORNING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SPREADING SLOWLY
INLAND WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. MOVEMENT WILL
BE GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. OTHER THREATS REMAIN GUSTY DOWNBURST
WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE AND DISSIPATE
OVER THE INTERIOR THIS EVENING.

DEVELOPMENT OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE AND EARLY AFTERNOON INLAND
MOVEMENT SHOULD KEEP COASTAL TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND
90 DEGREES WITH LOWER 90S AND POSSIBLY A FEW MIDDLE 90S FORECAST
INLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR ALL SITES...BTWN 01/16Z-01/18Z...EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE WILL FORCE A SFC WNDSHFT TO E/SE ARND 10KTS COASTAL SITES.
BTWN 01/18Z-01/24Z...SEA BREEZE WILL DRIFT INLAND TO VCNTY OF THE FL
TURNPIKE...SCT MVFR SHRAS/IFR TSRAS. BTWN 02/00Z-02/03Z...CHC MVFR
SHRAS/IFR TSRAS N OF KTIX-KISM...SLGT CHC MVFR SHRAS S OF KTIX-KISM.

&&

.MARINE...TODAY-TONIGHT...EARLY MORNING S/SSW WINDS WILL BACK TO
ESE/SE ALONG THE COAST AT 10-12 KTS WITH SE WINDS DEVELOPING FURTHER
AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 KTS. THIS EVENING MAINLY A
SE/SSE FLOW WITH SPEEDS UP TO 15 KTS OFFSHORE. CHOPPY/ROUGH DOMINANT
WAVE PERIODS 4-5 SECONDS DUE TO SHADOWING OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND.
SEAS AOB 3 FT THRU TONIGHT.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

SEDLOCK/VOLKMER




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