Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 230242
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1040 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Boundary collisions produced locally heavy but much needed rains
across portions of the interior. Slow moving storms aided in
producing as much as 4 inches near Pierson based on radar estimates
of rainfall. Another local maximum around 2.5 inches occurred near
Seaworld and Lake Nona. Lingering rain with embedded thunder will
push offshore the Brevard coast by midnight or so while some
lingering instability keeps convection going over the interior and
around Lake Okeechobee. Even this activity should diminish in a few
hours.


Tue...A stronger offshore flow will delay onset of the east coast
sea breeze allowing temps to warm into the lower 90s even at the
coast. This type of flow regime tends to produce the hottest temps
at the coast. The focus for storms should be along the east coast
counties during the mid to late afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
Lingering showers and a few storms will diminish by 06Z. Patchy fog
and stratus is possible late tonight from MCO northward. Increased
SW flow Tue will produce breezy/gusty conditions and delay onset of
the east coast sea breeze.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight...High pressure ridge axis south of the waters will produce
S/SW winds winds 10-15 knots except 15 knots offshore with
scattered showers and isolated storms pushing out to sea. Seas 2-4
feet.

Tuesday...Low pressure moving along stalled out front to the north
will increase southwest winds 15-20 knots well offshore.
Scattered storms developing near the coast and pushing offshore
late in the day will produce locally higher Winds/seas. There will
be a better chance for Marine weather statements/warnings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  71  88  72  86 /  50  40  50  80
MCO  71  90  72  87 /  50  40  20  80
MLB  72  91  73  90 /  40  30  20  70
VRB  71  93  75  91 /  20  30  30  60
LEE  73  87  75  84 /  30  40  40  80
SFB  72  91  73  85 /  50  40  30  80
ORL  72  89  74  86 /  50  40  30  80
FPR  70  92  72  92 /  20  30  30  60

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Johnson/Smith



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