Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 220021
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
721 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS AND SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL 222400.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED SE OF WICHITA FALLS THIS
AFTERNOON WHERE SOME CONFLUENT FLOW IS PRESENT AT THE SURFACE
AHEAD A WEAK MID LEVEL PERTURBATION SEEN IN WV IMAGERY. OTHER
MOIST CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ALONG A SFC TROUGH WEST OF OUR FA
ACROSS THE WESTERN TX PANHANDLE. SOME OF THIS COULD MOVE INTO
EXTREME NW OK BEFORE SUNSET...BUT SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED. THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...LOW SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WILL
SHIFT EAST AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIFTS OVER THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND RIDGE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE
TRUE SAT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AS AN INITIAL WEAK COLD FRONT STALLS
NEAR NW OK AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE
PANHANDLES.

TEMPS WILL COOL SLIGHTLY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EAST BUT THE COOLEST TEMPS WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE
NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT...ACCOMPANYING AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CONUS...DIVES SOUTH THROUGH OUR REGION.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE TEMPS WITH THIS FRONT FOR
DAYS 7 AND 8...BUT PRECIP CHANCES DO NOT LOOK VERY IMPRESSIVE
RIGHT NOW SINCE ANY MID TO UPPER SUPPORT EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO
FAR NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  75  98  75 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  77 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  78  99  76 /  20  20   0   0
GAGE OK           99  77 100  74 /  20  20   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     99  78  99  76 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         98  75  99  76 /  20  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/09/09



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