Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 012331
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
631 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS...ASIDE FROM A VERY LOW CHANCE OF A STRAY SHRA/TSRA AT
KGAG/KWWR...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE
TAF PERIOD. A WEAK WIND SHIFT WILL RESULT IN NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
FROM KGAG/KWWR TO KPNC BY EARLY THURS. ELSEWHERE...SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE. FROM 18Z ONWARD TOMORROW...SCT TSRA WILL BE
POSSIBLE MOST ANYWHERE FROM I-40 NORTH. GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS. THOUGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW...WILL
INTRODUCE PROB30 FOR NORTHERN/CENTRAL OK TERMINALS.

AUSTIN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE TROUGH/WIND SHIFT EXTENDED FROM NEAR WICHITA KANSAS TO
BUFFALO OKLAHOMA AND PERRYTON TEXAS AT 4 PM. DRIER AIR WAS
NORTHWEST OF THIS LINE...WHILE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUED
TO THE SOUTHEAST. A FEW SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING IN SOUTHEAST
KANSAS...AND POSSIBLY INTO FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

FOR THIS EVENING...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...EXCEPT THAT THE SHOWERS MAY EXTEND FARTHER SOUTH INTO
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT...AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

MORE SIGNIFICANTLY...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TOMORROW...BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR
RAIN/STORMS. FROM TOMORROW THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND...THE
CHANCES FOR RAIN/STORMS WILL BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE
RAIN/STORMS WERE A FEW HOURS EARLIER.

THE ARRIVAL OF HIGHER RAIN CHANCES...AND THEREFORE CLOUDS...WILL
REDUCE THE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...ENDING OUR NEAR-HEAT-ADVISORY
CONDITIONS FOR A FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  92  71  88 /  20  40  70  50
HOBART OK         75  93  71  93 /  10  20  60  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  76  95  75  93 /  10  10  40  30
GAGE OK           71  91  67  89 /  20  40  50  20
PONCA CITY OK     78  94  69  89 /  20  50  60  40
DURANT OK         73  92  73  87 /  10  10  50  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/84


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