Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KOUN 010915
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
415 AM CDT SAT NOV 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA HAVE REACHED 32
DEGREES OR LOWER THIS MORNING...WHILE SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS IN
WESTERN OKLAHOMA ARE KEEPING TEMPERATURES A LITTLE WARMER.
HOWEVER...SHELTERED AREAS SHOULD SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES BY
SUNRISE...SO NO PLANS TO ALTER CURRENT FREEZE WARNING.

WARNING IS VALID THROUGH 11 AM...BUT WILL LIKELY BE ABLE TO
CANCEL MOST LOCATIONS BY 9 AM WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA.

MODELS ARE SIMILAR WITH THE MOVEMENT OF A TROUGH THAT IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE MAIN INFLUENCE FROM THIS TROUGH
OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE A NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN SURFACE WINDS
AND HIGH CLOUDS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA LATE
MONDAY...AS PART OF THE WESTERN TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL ROCKIES. SOME SHOWERS MAY FORM WITH A RETURN OF
MODIFIED AIR LATE SUNDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA. BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN
AND A FEW STORMS WILL BEGIN MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY...AS THE
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE OPERATIONAL EC IS QUICKER TO DEVELOP A CUTOFF LOW OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WHILE OTHER
MODELS ARE WEAKER AND FARTHER EAST. EXPECT THE EC WILL COME MORE
IN LINE WITH LATER RUNS...BUT WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
RAIN LATE WEEK...AS THE CUTOFF LOW OPENS AND MOVES EAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  58  40  66  50 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         59  41  67  53 /   0   0  10  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  61  42  69  53 /   0   0   0  20
GAGE OK           59  42  68  52 /   0   0   0  30
PONCA CITY OK     56  41  66  50 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         58  38  66  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ004>048-
     050>052.

TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ085-086-089-
     090.

&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.