Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KOUN 012317
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
617 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Aviation discussion for the 00 UTC TAFs is below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Overall, VFR conditions are expected.

MVFR conditions may affect KWWR, KGAG, and KPNC before 15 UTC.
Did not mention thinking these conditions will stay just north of
these sites.

Isolated TSRA will affect parts of the area over the next 24 hours,
mainly near KLAW and KHBR before 02 UTC. Did not mention due to
low confidence of occurrence.

South surface winds will increase and become gusty at most sites
after 14 UTC.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 318 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Convection continues this afternoon with one shortwave moving east
through the area. Some additional development has been occurring
south with residual weak convective boundaries. The southern
convection will likely diminish with loss of diurnal heating while
the northern showers/storms will continue to move east. Attention
then turns back to the high plains with expected convective
development that will likely evolve into a storm cluster or
complex. The strongest signal is that most of these storms will
remain to the north in Kansas, but it is still worth having at
least some low pops in northern Oklahoma.

Another wave moves toward the area Saturday night and Sunday with
a frontal boundary moving into at least northwestern Oklahoma.
This will give us the best chance of storms across the area over
the next week, with the highest chances across the north.

Upper ridge builds more into the area next week, so it looks like
we will be warming up again. Triple digit temperatures will return
to the typical climatologically warm areas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  72  94  75  92 /  20  10  40  40
Hobart OK         73  97  74  95 /  20  20  40  30
Wichita Falls TX  74  98  78  98 /  10  10  20  30
Gage OK           71  93  68  86 /  30  40  60  30
Ponca City OK     72  94  72  87 /  30  20  60  50
Durant OK         73  95  77  94 /  10   0  10  20

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

23/17/17


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.