Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 201126
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
525 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through the forecast period. Mid/high clouds
will gradually shift east of taf sites this morning. Light south to
southwest winds will shift to the north as a weak front moves
southeast through the area today into this evening. A few
gusts over 20kts possible at GAG/WWR this afternoon.

30

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017/

.DISCUSSION...
Some lingering showers/thunderstorms this morning across eastern
part of the area, otherwise should see clearing skies from west to
east during the day.

A weak surface front will move through late today and tonight,
but will be little more than a wind shift. Nothing in the way of
cooler air behind this boundary and this will be the start of a
very mild and dry week. This in turn will begin a stretch where we
will see increasing fire weather concerns, especially by weeks
end as we gradually dry out from the recent rains. Thursday still
appears to have the greatest potential to reach critical
thresholds as an upper level trough approaches the southern
Plains. Southwesterly low level flow will increase in response
and will bring in very warm and dry air into at least western
parts of Oklahoma and western north Texas. Moisture will be
limited with the upper trough and precip chances still appear to
be minimal. A cooler airmass will overspread the area in wake of this
storm system for Friday into the weekend.

Another upper trough will move across the central and southern
Plains by second half of the weekend with the next chance of
rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  44  74  46 /  20   0   0   0
Hobart OK         70  40  74  44 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  72  44  74  46 /  10   0   0   0
Gage OK           71  35  78  43 /  10   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     72  42  74  45 /  30   0   0   0
Durant OK         70  50  74  48 /  60  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/30


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