Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KOUN 242021
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
321 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PLACED ON HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND COOLER TEMPS AND PRECIP CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

CURRENTLY... TEMPS ARE MUCH COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... BUT
DPTS CONTINUE TO HANG IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S... WITH HEAT
INDICES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S THIS AFTN. WV ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE NRN GREAT PLAINS... SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK
SHORT WAVE AND A REGION OF SFC CONVERGENCE HAS RESULTED IN A CU
FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN OK TO THE TX ESCARPMENT. CURRENT (2015Z)
RADAR HAS A LONE UPDRAFT TRYING IN ROGER MILLS COUNTY. SO... WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE AS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS... BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY STOUT UPDRAFT.

FOR FRIDAY... KEPT THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE... AS
HUMIDITIES AND HIGHS WILL KEEP AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER 100S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. INCLUDED NORTH CENTRAL OK BACK IN THE
ADVISORY AS HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100S WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING
105 ONCE AGAIN. RH VALUES WILL DROP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT. HOWEVER... WILL HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY
FOR THE MOMENT AS HEAT INDICES WILL BE BORDERLINE ACROSS THE REGION.

FOR NEXT WEEK... A WEAK FRONT WILL START TO PUSH INTO NW OK LATE SAT
INTO SUN... KEPT LOW CHANCES GOING OVERNIGHT SAT THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS FAR NRN OK AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. MID/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
ATTEMPTS TO STALL OUT THE FRONT THROUGH MON... BEFORE A STRONGER
SHORT WAVE/FRONT COMBO SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO WED. IN
RESPONSE... THERE WILL BE NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIP... WITH A
COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 80S BY
WED.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ007-008-012>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.