Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 012322
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
522 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAFS IS BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE AVIATION FORECAST REMAINS TRICKY.

WENT WITH MORE OPTIMISTIC CONDITIONS THAN THE PREVIOUS TAFS.
GENERALLY BELIEVE VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCES FOR VFR OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS AT NEARLY ANY SITE...ESPECIALLY NEAR
KLAW AND KSPS...BUT DID NOT MENTION DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE OF
OCCURRENCE.

-DZ OR -FZDZ MAY DEVELOP SOUTH OF KHBR-KOUN AFTER 06Z...BUT DID
NOT MENTION DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WITH THIS ISSUANCE...WE WILL NOT ISSUE ANY NEW WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES. HOWEVER...A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
TO HIGHLIGHT AREAS THAT COULD SEE VERY LIGHT FREEZING PRECIP. NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION ONE MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE FREEZING DRIZZLE OR VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP. THERE ARE ALREADY TRAVEL ISSUES ACROSS THE
REGION...AND THIS WILL BE COMPOUNDED LATE TONIGHT AS SLUSHY/WET
UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND WALKWAYS REFREEZE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS FROM
ANY LIGHT PRECIP IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE SHORT IN DURATION AND
NOT EXPECTED TO ADD MUCH TO REFREEZING ISSUE. ALL SHORT TERM
GUIDANCE NOT VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH ANY DENSE FOG/FREEZING FOG
ISSUES BUT WE WILL GO AHEAD AND MENTION FOG IN THE FORECAST.

TURN OVER TO NON-FREEZING/FROZEN PRECIP LATE TOMORROW MORNING FOR
A WHILE...AT LEAST UNTIL NEXT SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES LATE
TUESDAY. TRENDS OF MODELS STILL SHOW POSSIBILITY OF MAINLY LIGHT
RAIN TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BEFORE ENDING AS
SNOW ON WEDNESDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS EXPECTED. PRIOR TO THIS
TRANSITION THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A FEW STORMS MAINLY OVER FAR
SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. NO SEVERE WEATHER CURRENTLY
EXPECTED.

THEREAFTER...MODERATION OF TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/17



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