


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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850 FXUS63 KPAH 022311 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 611 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and mostly sunny conditions will continue today through the first half of the holiday weekend. - More comfortable humidity levels will persist through Thursday, then slightly above normal temperatures and higher humidity can be expected for the 4th of July through the weekend. - Chances of showers and thunderstorms will return Sunday afternoon, with an unsettled weather pattern persisting into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 A relative reprieve in humidity today with dewpoints in the lower 60s on the backside of a departing longer wave trough over the Great Lakes region. Light winds may aid in the development of a little bit of ground fog tonight but soundings suggest moisture decreases with height for now so doubt it does too much overall. An upper level ridge over the central plains builds to the northeast over the next 3-4 days leaving us in a dry and seasonably hot pattern. Humidity will increase a bit with dewpoints nudging back to around 70 degrees leading to heat index values around 100. The probability of any rain during the Friday-Saturday peak holiday period seems quite low. Some shower/thundershowers start to work back into the forecast later in the afternoon/evening Sunday with relatively weak hard to pin down systems nudging 73-75 degree dewpoint air into scattered convection in the afternoon and evening. Right now though there is no clear period where there is some kind of heightened risk for severe weather or flash flooding. PWAT values Sunday night look to bump against 2.1" so efficient rates seem likely but Corfidi vector orientation doesn`t really point to training storms or flooding issues right now. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 610 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Daytime cumulus will continue to diminish here over the next couple of hours. Skies will be clear overnight. More daytime cumulus is expected tomorrow midday through evening. Winds will be calm overnight and light and variable tomorrow. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JGG AVIATION...HICKFORD