378
FXUS63 KJKL 290702
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
Issued by National Weather Service Charleston WV
302 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible through this
  evening, but most areas will remain dry.

- Below normal temperatures can be expected through the rest of
  the work week. But temperatures will then warm over the weekend.

- After a period of generally dry conditions, it will become
  unsettled starting over the weekend into early next week, with
  chances of showers and thunderstorms returning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2024

Patchy valley fog should quickly burn off this morning. Otherwise, a
series of shortwaves will drop south into the area today, creating
showers and thunderstorms, mainly this afternoon and evening. Weak
instability during the period should prevent much in the way of
anything becoming severe, and bulk of convection should dissipate by
this evening as the shortwave moves east, and from loss of daytime
heating. Thursday morning will start out with areas of fog or
stratus, but the remainder of Thursday should be dry, and cooler, as
surface high pressure builds in from the north, with a northerly
flow in place.


.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2024

Friday looks to be continued dry, but increasing heat across the
area as an upper ridge builds across the area. Dry air in place will
allow for a cool mornings both Friday and Saturday morning, with low
temperatures dipping into the 40s across much of the area Friday AM,
with a quick diurnal warming trend during the day. Showers and
thunderstorms return to the area later Saturday and Sunday as a low
pressure wave moves across the area. There could be a bit of a break
in the precipitation at the start of next week, but at this point,
the potential for multiple weak waves moving across the area looks
to be likely, and have maintained a chance of pops into early
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
ISSUED AT 128 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2024

Patchy river valley fog is developing across the area, particularly
in the Big Sandy River basin. Expect brief MVFR/IFR in fog through
12-13Z in favored valley locations. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions
with light surface winds overnight. After 15Z, westerly to west-
northwesterly winds will become gusty at times, with occasional
gusts in the teens, becoming light after 23Z. In addition, isolated
to scattered showers and storms Wednesday, mainly after 16-18Z
through 00Z Thursday will create brief MVFR conditions. Areas of fog
or low stratus expected to develop towards the end of the TAF
period, creating areas of MVFR/IFR conditions.|

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SL
LONG TERM...SL
AVIATION...SL