Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 180812

National Weather Service Jackson KY
412 AM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 412 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2018

The short term forecast discussion will follow shortly.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 412 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2018

Active weather will continue across eastern Kentucky next week,
as the long wave pattern remains amplified, but fairly
progressive. Wet conditions will be in place Monday night, as a
surface low pressure system moves across the Tennessee Valley.

Northwest flow will linger behind the departed low pressure on
Tuesday, with a deepening trough to lay out across the eastern
CONUS through mid-week. Precipitation will linger across eastern
Kentucky, with colder air allowing for a snow threat, particularly
across the higher terrain Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Will continue to generalize the impacts, as there is still plenty
of time to look for better model consensus with regards to the
temperature profile.

Drier conditions will work in by Wednesday evening, as ridging
builds in from the west. Benign conditions will hold on through
at least early Friday, before the next potential system moves in
by late in the day. Still favoring a slower solution here, so did
undercut the blended model guidance for the POPs, holding back the
better chances until Friday night into Saturday. Temperatures will
average below normal through most of next week, especially
Wednesday and Thursday. Near normal readings will return by


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)

The low pressure system that traversed eastern KY and brought us
showers and thunderstorms this past afternoon/evening, has now
exited SE of the state. However, lingering moisture from this
system will continue the llvl clouds across the region throughout
the overnight. Most locations will experience MVFR conditions,
however IFR or lower CIGS may hold on at KSJS and KJKL for the
next several hours. Drier air will then filter into the region
late tonight and into the day tomorrow, with CIGS improving to VFR
at all TAF sites by mid morning. Skies should begin to clear out from
north to south throughout the afternoon and remain so through the
rest of the forecast period. Winds are a bit breezy out of the
north at KSME and KLOZ currently, but should dissipate by the
morning. Otherwise, expect light and variable conditions though
the extent of the period at all TAF sites.




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