882
FXUS64 KAMA 100519
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1219 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 916 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

 - Warm,dry and windy weekend expected. Highs will be in the low
   to mid 80s Saturday, warming to the upper 80`s to mid 90s
   Monday. Winds will gust to 35mph at times.

 - Chance for rain Tuesday into Wednesday with signifcant cooling
   by the end of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 916 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

The Pacific Northwest shortwave trough is continuing to slowly dig
southward and will eventually merge with Tropical Storm Rachel over
the western U.S. by Monday. Strong southwesterly flow aloft will be
present from the southwestern U.S. into Colorado by Tuesday
morning. Until that system moves east it will be warm for October
with highs warming into the lower 90s (especially the eastern
panhandles)with mid to upper 80`s elsewhere. Windy conditions are
expected over the weekend as well with wind gusts 33-38 mph over
the region. Chances for precipitation increase quickly during the
day on Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms a possibility.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 916 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

SPC has portions of the area in a slight risk for severe weather
on Wednesday...mainly in the eastern half of the panhandles. The
western low and trough will finally begin to move to the northeast
and take on a bit of a negative tilt as it emerges into the western
plains. Well defined boundaries to the north across southern KS and
from a low in southeast CO through far western TX will be areas of
focus. At this time it seems as if the best chance for storms will
be near the KS/OK border and more scattered across the eastern
third of the panhandle. Since this time period is still a few days
away more refinements are likely over the weekend.

As that system moves away from the area signs are pointing to a
cold front that will be moving south across the area early Thursday
(Oct 15). Temps will begin to fall with highs only in the 70s on
Thursday the 15th and then cooling into the 60`s Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Clear skies and VFR conditions will remain over the TAF sites
tonight and into Saturday. Windy conditions will begin mid to late
morning and continue thru the day. The strongest gusts will be
33-38 mph at the TAF sites.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KP
LONG TERM....KP
AVIATION...KP