268
FXUS64 KAMA 121628
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1128 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 112 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

- Fog may develop in the eastern Panhandles this morning.

- 90`s return today and may linger into next week.

- Severe thunderstorms are possible both today and tomorrow.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 112 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Tonight, fog may develop in the eastern Panhandles and linger
until the mid morning. Confidence is low as to how far west the
fog can make it, but a low chance still exist for the central
Panhandles to be affected as well.

Isolated thunderstorm chances exist this evening mainly in the
western combined Panhandles. Storms that can make it from New
Mexico could become severe and will be capable of producing strong
damaging winds. Downbursts are a possibility as well given the
large DCAPE environment and inverted V soundings forecast tomorrow
afternoon. Highs will start to rise to the 90`s for some places,
namely in the Oklahoma Panhandle. Mid to upper 80`s are expected
for the rest of the CWA.

Friday, another round of storms is forecast to move in from the
west. Higher storm coverage is forecast, and a later start time is
expected. Thunderstorms may not enter our CWA until closer to
sunset. A favorable storm environment exists for discrete and
semi-discrete convection. These types of storms will pose a large
hail and damaging wind threat. The tornado threat is very low
since these storms are expected to be high based. Thunderstorm
activity may also continue into the night time hours and into
early Saturday morning. Low to mid 90`s are anticipated area wide
for highs tomorrow. Temperatures in the Palo Duro Canyon will be
approaching 100 degrees; and with high 60`s dewpoints in the
forecast, heat index values will likely meet or exceed 100
degrees.

Rangel

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 112 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

The upper level high begins to move over our CWA this weekend,
allowing for above average temperatures to transpire for the first
few days of the extended. The global models are now bringing a
trough into the region by mid next week. This will aid in the
suppression of the ridge, and depending on how far south the
trough travels, thunderstorm chances may continue for the first
few days of the new week.

Rangel

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

VFR conditions expected to prevail with relatively light winds
through the 18Z TAF period. There is a low chance, low enough to
leave out of the TAFs, for thunderstorms impacting KDHT and KAMA
after 00Z Friday.

36

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...36