678
FXUS63 KLBF 121718
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1218 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions this weekend, with highs in upper 70s to low
  80s this afternoon warming into the low 90s Sunday.

- Very warm Monday from 90 to 95 with a slight chance for
  showers and storms Monday night across the northwest
  Sandhills.

- A cold front slowly dropping through the region will bring a
  return of showers and thunderstorm chances Tuesday through
  Thursday night, along with cooler temperatures in 70s to low
  80s for Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 252 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Today, surface high pressure will drift southeast over the region.
After high cloudiness persists across the south and east through
mid morning, skies will be mostly sunny into the afternoon, with
a few afternoon cumulus clouds in the afternoon. Winds will be
variable around 5 mph. Highs today will be cooler than the past
few days with highs near 80 to the low 80s.

Tonight, a strong upper ridge will reside over the Desert
Southwest with an upper trough from Ontario Canada into the
Great Lakes. the upper flow will be northwesterly over western
Nebraska. A warm front will lift northeast through the forecast
area overnight. There is weak support for isolated showers or
thunderstorms overnight as shown by the GFS and a few of the
CAMs. With models largely dry, no mention attm.

Sunday, a weak surface trough will extend northeast across the
Sandhills. Warm H85 temperatures from 25C to 28C supports highs
from 90 to the low 90s. another day of light winds, with light
southwest winds south of the surface trough and light north
winds to the north.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 252 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Another very warm day on Monday as the upper flow becomes more
zonal with surface low pressure deepening across Wyoming into
South Dakota. This will bring an increase in southerly winds,
with breezy conditions across the western Sandhills in the
afternoon. Will also see a cold front drop south into North
Dakota and central Montana. Will see isolated to scattered
thunderstorms develop to our west, from southeast Wyoming into
the western panhandle and Black Hills. May see a few storms move
across the northwest Sandhills Monday night as the cold front
moves into northeast Wyoming and western South Dakota.

A more active weather pattern returns for Tuesday through
Thursday night as an upper trough crosses the northern Plains.
At least chance POPs for thunderstorms will exist each day
Tuesday through Thursday, though the threat for severe weather
remains uncertain. The cold front will gradually move through
the forecast area Tuesday into Tuesday night, but stalls out
over northern Kansas Wednesday into Thursday, then should lift
north as a warm front on Friday. Much below average
temperatures are expected Wednesday and Thursday with highs in
the 70s to low 80s. Highs appear poised to return to the 80s
Friday, as an upper ridge strengthens across the southeastern
and southern U.S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through tomorrow
afternoon across western and north central Nebraska. Winds
remain light and variable this afternoon, before becoming
southerly this evening and tonight, at around 10 to 15kts.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Brown