Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 251750

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1250 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018


VFR through the period. No Aviation concerns. Wind directions are
a challenge, however speeds will be less than 12 knots.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 620 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018/

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 12Z TAF period. Any
chances of thunderstorms should remain east of all TAF sites. Winds
will be out of the southwest throughout the day 10-15 kts with
gusts over 20 kts at times, especially at KAMA. Winds after 00Z
through to the end of the TAF period will diminish to
southeasterly at 5-15 kts, then light and variable toward the end
of the TAF period as high pressure moves closer to our region
bringing tranquil conditions.


PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 225 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018/

An upper level ridge axis will be found just west of the Panhandles
today and tonight.  The northwest flow aloft will help to bring a
weak short wave southeast across the eastern Texas Panhandle this
afternoon. This wave will combine with a surface trough and low
level moisture in the eastern Texas Panhandle to bring a small
chance of showers and thunderstorms to this area this afternoon. Any
showers or thunderstorms should move off to the southeast by this

The upper level ridge axis builds more across the Panhandles on
Saturday, which should make our forecast dry with above normal

The ridge axis shifts off to the east by Monday and then the ridge
starts to break down by mid week. This will allow a better chance of
showers and thunderstorms as weak disturbances move across the
region in the southwest to zonal flow aloft ahead and on the south
side of a lifting upper level trough over the western U.S.

The ridge starts to build back across the Southern High Plains by
late in the week, so temperatures again should soar well above
average and shower and thunderstorm chances will diminish.


.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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