Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
618 FNUS52 KILM 241924 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 324 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue for the next few days within an unseasonably warm and humid airmass. A cold front should reach the Carolinas on Tuesday, bringing cooler and drier weather Wednesday through Friday. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-251130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 324 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 50 30 20 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 65 90 66 91 Max/Min RH (%) 99 48 100 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.21 0.18 0.10 0.00 Precip Duration 1 1 1 0 Precip Begin 6 PM 12 PM Continuing 2 PM Precip End 1 AM Continuing 2 AM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0900 2000 76/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6000 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58000 72000 ADI Early 32 Fair 28 Fair 32 Fair 45 Gen Good ADI Late 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 65 Good Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 9 Max LVORI Late 8 2 9 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A F A Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-251130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 324 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 66 89 67 92 Max/Min RH (%) 98 47 100 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.14 0.16 0.11 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 1 0 Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing 2 PM Precip End 12 AM Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0900 2000 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6200 Transport Wind (mph) W 8 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46400 62000 ADI Early 60 Gen Good 28 Fair 39 Fair 40 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 77 Good Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 9 Max LVORI Late 8 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-251130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 324 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 40 40 30 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 67 91 66 91 Max/Min RH (%) 97 49 100 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.15 0.22 0.16 0.00 Precip Duration 1 2 1 0 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0800 2000 76/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59000 70800 ADI Early 33 Fair 35 Fair 23 Fair 32 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 67 Good 5 Very Poor 72 Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 9 Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-251130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 324 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 67 90 66 92 Max/Min RH (%) 97 49 100 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.11 0.17 0.14 0.02 Precip Duration 1 2 1 1 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0800 2000 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 70800 ADI Early 76 Good 32 Fair 35 Fair 31 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 66 Good 4 Very Poor 78 Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 9 Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...TRA