Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Issued by NWS Sioux Falls, SD
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350 FXUS63 KFSD 241139 AFDFSD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 639 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Strong to severe storms will exit northwest IA and southwest MN early this morning. - Windy conditions with northwesterly winds gusting to 30-40 mph today. - Periodic showers and thunderstorms for Memorial Day weekend. While we are not currently expecting strong storms, lightning is still possible. When thunder roars, go indoors! && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 302 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 There could be a few lingering showers east of Interstate 29 through mid morning on Friday, before the surface trough slides into the eastern portions of MN and IA by mid day. With cold air advection behind the exiting wave and a fairly tight surface pressure gradient persisting, it will be a breezy day with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. It will be a much cooler day as 850 mb temperatures fall into the teens C, and highs will be in the 60s. With clearing skies and dying winds on Friday night, lows will fall into the 40s. For the holiday weekend leading into Memorial Day, look for warming temperatures - though remaining just below normal for this time of year. This will play out to highs for Saturday-Monday generally in the lower 70s with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Unfortunately the active weather pattern continues, as yet another shortwave and associated surface low eject into the Central Plains on Saturday night into Sunday - this to be followed by another shortwave on Monday. This will bring a chance of periodic showers and thunderstorms through the period. Instability and/or shear look to be on the lower side during this time frame, so severe chances are low. Rainfall amounts do not look especially significant, averaging around a quarter of an inch for any 24 hour period. Models are then in decent agreement on an upper level ridge building across the region for Tuesday through Thursday of next week. This will finally bring a drier period, along with a gradual warming trend, as highs warm into the upper 70s to lower 80s. Toward the end of the period, the ridge starts to flatten out, bringing another chance of precipitation by Thursday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 638 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 MVFR ceilings will drift into central SD early this morning and linger through possibly noon. KHON should be the only site affected. Otherwise strong northwest winds will gust to around 40 mph at times today. && .FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...None. MN...None. IA...None. NE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JM AVIATION...08