Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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449 FXUS64 KTSA 050926 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 426 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today) Issued at 402 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 The remnants of the overnight MCS will be exiting our area early this morning, with clearing skies expected in its wake. Afternoon high temperatures will warm into the 80s. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 402 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 We will see a short break from the nightly MCS activity we have been seeing recently, but by Friday night, MCS potential will increase again, especially in parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. MCS potential will be greatest across the entire forecast area Saturday night, with a cold front then likely to push across the area Sunday. The passage of this front may result in another break in precipitation chances early next week, but models begin to diverge at this time, and shower and storm chances may return as early as Tuesday of next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 123 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Storms in the near term will clear out from NW to SE. A brief period of MVFR or IFR conditions can be expected with the storms, with some chance for MVFR cigs behind them for a brief time. Clouds will scatter out during the day on Wednesday with a north to northwest wind up to around 15 kts. VFR conditions will prevail thru the end of the forecast with winds subsiding toward sunset. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 86 65 89 64 / 0 10 10 10 FSM 88 64 92 67 / 20 0 10 10 MLC 87 63 91 66 / 10 0 10 10 BVO 85 61 88 58 / 0 10 10 10 FYV 82 59 87 58 / 10 0 10 10 BYV 82 60 87 59 / 10 0 10 10 MKO 85 62 90 65 / 0 0 10 10 MIO 82 61 86 59 / 0 10 10 10 F10 84 63 90 66 / 0 0 10 10 HHW 86 63 91 68 / 30 0 10 10 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...30