Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 072310
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
610 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2020

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 207 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2020

A surface boundary has nudged into northwest Oklahoma, with a
dryline moving into western Oklahoma. Especially in the airmass
west of the dryline, the temperature have risen into the upper
80s. We have updated the afternoon forecast to raise today`s highs
a little more in the west. Low-level winds will continue to veer
tonight and the surface boundary in the north will move south as
well, both contributing to lowering the surface dewpoints
overnight. With that and better radiational cooling with the lack
of low clouds, forecast lows look to drop a little lower than
what we saw this morning. But another warm day is expected
tomorrow ahead of the stronger cold front.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2020

Overall not a lot of changes to the previous forecast.

Following a rather warm day Wednesday, a cold front will move across
the southern Plains Wednesday night through early Thursday morning.
Somewhat of a secondary push of cooler/colder air will move into the
area late Thursday into Friday, as a shortwave trough moves
across the northern Plains. Overnight lows Thursday night will be
in the mid to upper 30s across northern Oklahoma, but a freeze is
not expected.

Modest moisture return and increasing low level flow Friday
into Friday night will result in an increase in showers and
a few thunderstorms. Meanwhile, a nearly stationary low over
southern California will begin to move east.  This feature will move
across the southern Plains and Texas late Saturday into early
Sunday. Higher rain chances Saturday and Saturday night will be
across southern Oklahoma.

A rather strong cold front will move across Oklahoma and northern
Texas Sunday afternoon and night.  At this time, it appears any
precipitation associated with the frontal passage will remain on
the light side.

The air mass behind the front appears cold enough to support a freeze
across at least northern and most of western Oklahoma by early
Monday morning.  With broad cyclonic flow during the early part of
the week, will maintain low precipitation chances.  Later forecast
may remove precipitation chances in favor of just cloud cover.
Another freeze is possible by Tuesday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2020

VFR will apply through the forecast period. High clouds will
increase overnight. Winds will become mainly variable and light
after 02Z for most terminals, and then W to NW by 18Z Wed.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  56  86  47  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         52  88  48  63 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  57  89  53  65 /   0   0   0  10
Gage OK           51  84  41  64 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     54  84  44  63 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         63  87  54  67 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...03


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