Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 180331
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
931 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

.UPDATE...
Changed the chance of snow across northwest Oklahoma to flurries.

Slightly updated hourly temperatures/dew points based on current
trends.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A shortwave trough is forecast to weaken/deamplify as it
approaches from the west tonight. Some saturation does occur in
the dendritic snow growth late tonight (after 09Z) across far
northwest Oklahoma as the wave approaches. However, it is quite
dry below 10,000 ft. Therefore, snow will likely sublimate before
it reaches the surface. Therefore, opted to remove the chance of
measurable snow and only mention flurries.

Otherwise, no significant changes were made to the forecast.

Mahale

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 513 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019/

AVIATION...
VFR will apply through the forecast period. Skies will generally
remain clear for most of the period, although some mid to high
clouds will begin to increase overnight. Expect north to northeast
winds around 10 to 15 kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  21  35  25  31 /   0   0  10  80
Hobart OK         21  36  24  32 /   0   0  10  60
Wichita Falls TX  25  42  30  37 /   0   0  10  60
Gage OK           14  30  17  27 /  10   0  10  60
Ponca City OK     18  34  24  31 /   0   0  10  80
Durant OK         25  46  33  39 /   0   0  10  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/03



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