625
FXUS65 KABQ 120513 AAC
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1013 PM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1012 PM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

- Dry and unseasonably mild weather will persist through at least
  the middle of next week across central and northern New Mexico.

- Breezy northwest winds along the central highlands of eastern
  New Mexico most days (outside of Friday and Sunday) will create
  some difficult crosswinds at times for large and high-profile
  vehicles.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1242 PM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

With temperatures already in the 70s across much of eastern NM and
Clayton at 80 as of noon local time, increased highs across this
part of the state. Las Vegas has already tied their record of 70
from 2004 and Clayton and Tucumcari are a degree away from their
daily records of 81 from 1939 and 75 from 1977, respectively. Rest
of the forecast remains on track.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

Another pleasant day across the Land of Enchantment with dry
northwest flow. Northwest winds are getting gusty across the central
highlands of Torrance and eastern Guadalupe County due to a tight
surface pressure gradient in the wake of a surface lee low over the
central and southern High Plains. Max wind gusts of around 40 to 45
mph in this zone. Temperatures across eastern NM today are warming
back up to well above average readings due to the downslope west
winds from this aforementioned surface lee low. Records will be
challenged or tied for most locations across the forecast area this
afternoon with highs 20 to as much as 25 degrees above average.
Highs across western and central NM will be around 15 degrees above
average and near daily records. Another weak backdoor front pushes
south across eastern NM late tonight into Friday morning. This
will cool highs across this part of the state around 10 to 15
degrees compared to today but highs will still remain around 10 to
15 degrees above average for mid December. Similar temperatures
to today across western and central NM. Light southerly breezes
will develop across the northeast highlands Friday afternoon due
to the development of a surface trough in the lee of the Sangre de
Cristo Mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

Dry northwest flow remains over the state Saturday. Eastern NM warms
back up around 5 to 10 degrees compared to Friday on Saturday due to
another surface lee trough resulting in downslope west and northwest
winds across east central and southeast NM. Winds across the central
highlands and Torrance and eastern Guadalupe County will once again
become windy with max gusts of around 45 to 50 mph. Similar well
above average temperatures across western and central NM. A stronger
backdoor front, associated with an upper low moving across the
northern Great Lakes, moves through eastern NM Saturday evening
into Saturday night. Some gusty north winds behind this front with
max wind gusts of around 30 mph. The backdoor front squeezes
through the gaps of the central mountain chain late Saturday night
into early Sunday morning resulting in a light to at most
moderate gap wind across Santa Fe, eastern ABQ and Carrizozo. Max
gap wind gusts of around 25 to 30 mph at this time. The backdoor
front cools temperatures across central and especially eastern NM
for Sunday. Temperatures will be around 5 to 10 degrees cooler
compared to Saturday across central NM (still 5 to 10 degrees
above average) and around 15 to 20 degrees compared to Saturday
across the eastern plains (around average). No impact to
temperatures across western NM as the axis of an upper level ridge
moves over the state.

A weak upper level trough moves through the desert SW Sunday night
through Tuesday morning with the only noticable feature during this
time being some mid to high level clouds over the state Sunday
afternoon through Monday night. Downsloping southwest winds warms
temperatures across eastern NM back up to around 10 to 15 degrees
above average on Monday. High temperatures will also be 10 to 15
degrees above average across western and central NM. Dry northwest
flow with high temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above average areawide
and some batches of high clouds in the wake of this weak trough mid
next week. Breezy to at times locally gusty northwest winds across
the central highlands during the daytime hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1012 PM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF
period with mostly light winds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

Dry weather with no critical fire weather conditions through mid
next week. Very mild to warm through Saturday. A weak backdoor
cold front will push through eastern areas tonight resulting in
slightly cooler temperatures and higher humidity on Friday. Gusty
northwest winds across the central highlands this afternoon and
Saturday afternoon. Cooler across central and especially eastern
areas Sunday behind a stronger backdoor front Saturday night.
Temperatures warm up to well above normal readings Monday through
mid next week. Breezy to gusty northwest winds across the central
highlands during the day mid next week. Ventilation generally
poor, expect for some locally fair to good ventilation across the
eastern and San Augustin plains Saturday and Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  27  52  26  53 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  22  58  21  56 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  26  55  26  55 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  22  60  19  62 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  29  60  27  60 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  25  62  21  62 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  28  61  28  61 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  36  60  35  63 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  32  61  29  61 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  27  72  28  68 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  32  76  31  72 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  27  54  22  53 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  37  56  33  56 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  35  59  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  32  56  26  54 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................  27  49  25  49 /   0   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................  19  55  19  55 /   0   0   0   0
Taos............................  23  59  23  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  33  61  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  29  62  28  61 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  37  58  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  31  60  30  60 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  39  62  37  62 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  35  64  35  64 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  33  65  31  66 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  36  63  32  64 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  28  64  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  34  64  32  64 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  29  65  26  65 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  34  65  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  30  65  26  65 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  37  60  35  61 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  35  64  32  64 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  36  66  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  35  58  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  35  59  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  32  61  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  28  62  25  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  33  59  31  58 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  33  62  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  32  63  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  37  67  38  65 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  40  62  39  62 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  32  56  29  62 /   0   0   0   0
Raton...........................  30  60  26  66 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  27  63  25  68 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  34  61  32  66 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  39  59  36  64 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  32  60  30  68 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  32  66  30  72 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  35  64  38  72 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  33  67  33  70 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  40  67  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  37  68  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  35  67  33  74 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  39  70  33  74 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  42  68  38  73 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  39  67  35  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...11