Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 242300
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
600 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2020

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2020

Fog has dissipated and stratus has mostly cleared out (south
central Oklahoma should follow shortly).

Today and tomorrow will be marked by mostly clear skies and mild
to warm temperatures (with the warmer temperatures over western
parts of the forecast area).

Any stratus / fog development tomorrow morning will be
further east leaving the majority of our forecast area (south
central Oklahoma being the possible exception) in the clear.

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 306 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2020

Saturday looks to be the warmest day of the extended as shortwave
ridging builds overhead. Expect breezy south winds and highs in
the upper 80s across central and eastern Oklahoma, to the mid 90s
across western Oklahoma and western north Texas.

The forecast for Sunday has seen some significant changes as models
have trended towards a slower and much stronger shortwave dropping
southward across the central Plains. Models now show a surge of low-
level moisture ahead of the front which should help to spark
scattered thunderstorms late Sunday afternoon or Sunday evening.
With weak to moderate instability and upwards of 40 knots of
effective shear now being advertised, a few strong to severe
thunderstorms will also be possible. Behind the cold front breezy
north winds are expected, which should help keep temperatures
cooler on Monday with highs in the 70s..

Changes were also made to the forecast for the middle of next week
as models are slower with the next front, now showing it crossing
the area late on Wednesday or Thursday as opposed to Tuesday.
Regardless of the exact frontal timing, the overall upper pattern
still appears amplified and favorable for a continuation of below
normal temperatures through the end of next week as a large upper
ridge anchors itself along the west coast.

Ware

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2020

VFR conditions continue.

Clear skies and light winds will occur overnight with
south/southwest winds increasing during the day on Friday. Some
gusts to over 20kts possible across central into west central
Oklahoma during the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  60  86  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         60  91  62  93 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  59  90  62  92 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           60  98  64  97 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     60  88  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         59  83  61  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...30


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