022
FXUS62 KMFL 110839
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
339 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

  - Mostly dry and seasonable weather for the remainder of the
    week.

  - High risk of rip currents continues today for all Palm
    Beaches.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

A post-frontal air mass is now spreading across the state with
northerly flow increasing dry/colder air advection from the north
as high pressure establishes over the SE CONUS. 00Z MFL sounding
data already depicted a significantly dry atmosphere above 1 KM,
and PWATs dropping to around 1 inch.

The air mass will also become much more stable today and through the
short term with POPs near zero each day. Meanwhile, the colder air
will bring down afternoon highs, with low-mid 70s across much of
SoFlo today, and mid-upper 70s Friday. Ensembles and global
solutions expand the ridge across the region on Friday, with winds
over SoFlo remaining generally northerly light to moderate flow,
and becoming light while veering east on Friday.

All in all, expect a very enjoyable weather pattern during the next
couple of days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

In general, high pressure will remain in firm control of the area
weather through Saturday, with the air mass gradually warming up
into the low 80s. Low POPs remain in the grids for, with maybe a few
isolated to scattered showers developing ahead of a weak frontal
passage. But even that should remain fairly limited.

Uncertainty remain in model guidance regarding the forecast
scenario, and including any lingering moisture on Monday. Some
solutions still hint at the potential development of an upper-level
disturbance over the Gulf waters. This feature seems to migrate
eastward and reach the peninsula early next week and dragging
moisture into the area. The timing and intensity of its potential
impacts remain uncertain, and latest NBM guidance came fairly dry
for the first half of next week.

Morning lows are expected to remain in the mid 50s over the
interior, and mid 60s along the coasts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

VFR will continue at all terminals during the next 24 hours.
Light northwesterly flow will increase to 8-10kt after 15Z, then
again light and variable after 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

Moderate northerly to northeasterly winds will prevail across the
local waters over the next couple of days as a frontal boundary
lingers over the FL straits. A few showers may return to the
southern Atlantic waters by Saturday. Seas will range from 3-5 ft
each day.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

A high risk of rip currents continues for all Palm Beach county
beaches today as a northeasterly swell increases along the
coastline.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            75  59  78  66 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     76  54  78  61 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        76  58  78  64 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        76  59  78  65 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  74  59  76  66 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  74  59  77  66 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   76  57  78  64 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  73  56  77  64 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       76  57  78  65 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           76  54  78  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...17