965
FXUS64 KJAN 030553
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1253 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Today through next Wednesday:

High pressure will continue to influence the region under a summer
pattern. A shortwave amid northwest flow along the eastern flank of
the upper ridge will keep more clouds around tomorrow, though drier
air will limit coverage of afternoon convection. In areas that
retain moisture, particularly the southwest, low (15-20%) PoPs will
persist. This ridge will gradually propagate towards our area later
this week into the weekend and allow temperatures to warm to the mid
90s. Lingering dry air looks to limit greater heat risk, though heat
indices still look to be in the triple digits in the west and in
river valleys. A limited heat graphic may eventually be needed. By
early next week, moisture recovers, while flow becomes westerly.
Heat indices may approach heat thresholds (105-110), but with the
increase of rain chances (40-60%), will have to assess heat risk day
to day. Additionally, any potential severe risk will have to be
assessed day to day. Otherwise, expect seasonal daily diurnally
driven convection to continue early to mid next week./SAS/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

VFR flight conditions and light winds are expected to prevail
through the TAF period. Patchy fog will be possible near sunrise;
however, vsby impacts aren`t expected. An isolated shower/storm
can`t be ruled out during the afternoon across southwestern TAF
sites. /SW/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       91  72  93  72 /  10  10  10   0
Meridian      91  70  94  72 /  10   0   0   0
Vicksburg     93  73  94  73 /  20  10  10   0
Hattiesburg   95  72  95  73 /  10  10  10   0
Natchez       92  73  92  72 /  20  20  20   0
Greenville    91  72  92  72 /  10   0   0   0
Greenwood     92  71  95  72 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SAS20/SW