Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 010127 AAA
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion...Update
National Weather Service Jackson MS
829 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016


.UPDATE...Only minor changes to the previous forecast. /BB/

&&

.DISCUSSION...Relatively dry northeast low level flow well to the
north-northwest of Tropical Storm Hermine in the central Gulf of
Mexico is allowing the few showers that popped up around the area
this afternoon to diminish quickly this evening. Expect a rain-free
night with mostly clear skies and light winds. Not expecting much in
the way of fog formation come daybreak although a patch or two of
shallow fog cannot be ruled out in very isolated spots.

Speaking of Hermine, the latest from the NHC still has the cyclone
slowly gaining strength over the next 24 hours as it tracks
northeast, making landfall along the central or eastern Panhandle of
Florida late tomorrow night. Negative impacts should be confined
well to the east of our forecast area. /BB/

&&

.AVIATION...Patchy MVFR conditions due to light fog cannot be
ruled out in any areas around daybreak Thursday, although the
highest chance of impact is at GLH. Otherwise, expect northeast
surface winds to be a bit gusty at times tomorrow afternoon with
afternoon showers and thunderstorms once again quite
isolated. /BB/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 353 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016/

SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night...Isolated showers and
storms late this afternoon are expected to end after sunset, with
overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. For Thursday, a frontal system
will be approaching the region from the north. Enough moisture
should exist out ahead of this system for isolated showers and
storms to develop tomorrow afternoon and evening. This activity
should once again diminish after sunset. The front will begin moving
through the area Thursday night. Lows Thursday night look to dip
into the upper 60s across northern zones behind this system. /27/

LONG TERM...Friday through next Tuesday...With high pressure wedged
into our region from the northeast, and with the help of Tropical
Storm Hermine lifting northeast up the East Coast of the United
States, noticeably drier air is expected over the CWA as we end the
work week and start the upcoming weekend. Some small rain chances
will reside across the south in the vicinity of the Highway 84
corridor over Labor Day weekend, but the majority of the forecast
area will remain rain free Friday through Sunday. Highs Friday will
range from the mid 80s to mid 90s, upper 80s to mid 90s Saturday,
and low to middle 90s Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile with the drier
airmass residing over the region, lows will be noticeably cooler
Friday night as they range from the lower 60s to lower 70s.
Then as the weekend progresses, they`ll warm a bit with upper 60s to
lower 70s expected both Saturday and Sunday nights.

Moisture subtly increases Monday into Tuesday under a more southeast
flow, along with chances for showers and storms both afternoons. The
better chances for this will be across southern and western zones as
they`ll reside on the fringes of high pressure wedged into the
forecast area from the east. Still, the majority of the area will
remain dry. Highs both afternoons will be in the low 90s, with lows
each night in the low and middle 70s. /19/27/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       74  95  73  90 /   2  17  11   5
Meridian      74  96  73  92 /   3  18  11   6
Vicksburg     75  95  73  90 /   1  16  11   4
Hattiesburg   74  97  75  93 /   1  19  12   9
Natchez       73  94  72  88 /   1  16  11   5
Greenville    74  92  70  86 /   2  17  11   3
Greenwood     74  93  70  89 /   4  16  11   3

&&

.JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

BB/19/27



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