Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 300119
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
920 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-OVERNIGHT...LATE DAY COLLISION BETWEEN SEA BREEZES ACROSS
LAKE COUNTY THIS EVENING. CONVECTION ACROSS WESTERN ORANGE/SOUTHWEST
SEMINOLE COUNTIES EARLIER HAS EXHIBITED VERY SLOW MOVEMENT PROMPTING
AN URBAN/SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. EXPECT ISOLATED
ACTIVITY WELL INTO THE INTERIOR TO DISSIPATE THROUGH LATE EVENING
WITH CLOUD DEBRIS THINNING THROUGH THE NIGHT RESULTING IN PCLOUDY
SKIES AREAWIDE. WILL UPDATE ZONES SHORTLY TO CLEAN UP FIRST PERIOD
WORDING TO KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT/VARIABLE. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER
60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.

SAT...PREVIOUS...PRECIPITABLE WATER IS FORECAST TO BE SLIGHTLY LOWER
THAN TODAY...AND WITH A SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW...THE SEA
BREEZE WILL MOVE INLAND FASTER. HENCE BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL SHIFT TOWARDS THE WEST SIDE OF THE
PENINSULA.

THE 12Z GFS HAS POPS NEAR 20 PERCENT AT LEESBURG ON SAT...AND 10
PERCENT OR LESS ELSEWHERE...SO WILL CONTINUE THE CURRENT POP
FORECAST WHICH PRETTY MUCH AGREES WITH GUIDANCE. HIGH TEMPS WILL
REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S INLAND...WITH MID 80S ALONG THE
BARRIER ISLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THROUGH 30/18Z.

&&

.MARINE...OVERNIGHT-SAT...FAIRLY LIGHT PGRAD CONTINUES THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS WILL CONSOLIDATE
FARTHER NORTH ON SAT AND INDUCE A SOUTHEAST GRADIENT WIND AROUND 10
KNOTS. SEAS LOOK TO BE AROUND 2 FEET INTO SAT MORNING THEN BECOMING
2-3 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY IN THE GULF STREAM. SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT INLAND AGAIN SAT AFTERNOON.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SEDLOCK/CRISTALDI



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