Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 171335
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
835 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A SHALLOW AND RATHER UNEVENTFUL FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE BOUNDARY...CURRENTLY SITUATED
NEAR A LINE STRETCHING FROM MELBOURNE TO KISSIMMEE...SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH TODAY BEFORE WASHING OUT AROUND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

THE FRONT HAS LITTLE REASON TO MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA QUICKLY
TODAY GIVEN THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL KEEP COOL AND DRY AIR
ADVECTION TO A MINIMUM. LITTLE NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE TO OUR SENSIBLE
WEATHER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 70S.

ASIDE FROM SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO WIND, SKY, AND TEMPERATURE
GRIDS...FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK.

&&

.AVIATION...

LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG AND BEHIND A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA PRODUCING
SOME MVFR VISIBILITY/CEILING REDUCTIONS. EXPECT THIS TO BURN OFF
FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA AS DAYTIME HEATING COMMENCES.
OTHERWISE...VFR WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO MORE NORTHERLY AS DAY
PROGRESSES.

&&

.MARINE...

TODAY/TONIGHT...SW-WSW WINDS SHIFT TO NW AND DECREASING TO AROUND
10KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 1FT NEAR SHORE AND 2-3FT WELL OFFSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CRITICAL WIND/LOW RH CONCERNS INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY (GENF1) HAS
FALLEN TO THE LOWER 6.53FT...JUST ABOVE THE LOWER END OF ACTION
STAGE (6.50FT). PROTRACTED DRY WEATHER WILL ALLOW THE RIVER TO
DROP BELOW ACTION STAGE BY TONIGHT OR EARLY THU.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  69  45  67  47 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  73  48  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  73  48  70  51 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  75  48  71  50 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  70  46  69  47 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  71  48  71  47 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  73  48  71  49 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  74  49  73  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION/SHORT TERM FORECAST...ULRICH
IMPACT WX/LONG TERM FORECAST....SEDLOCK



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