Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 201740
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1240 PM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
ANY ONGOING MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BECOME LOW VFR CONDITIONS WITH
RISING CEILINGS. CLEARING SKIES THIS EVENING WILL ALLOW FOR
ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY FOG WHICH MAY BRIEFLY PRODUCE IFR
CONDITIONS AT A FEW LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE THE FOCUS WILL TURN
TOWARD A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE NEAR OK/KS BORDER AROUND SUNRISE
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS NE OK / FAR NW AR TOMORROW
MORNING.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
MORNING LOW CLOUDINESS WILL GENERALLY GIVE WAY TO SCT-BKN AFTER
CUMULUS. PROFILES ARE LARGELY MOIST AND UNCAPPED HOWEVER LAPSE
RATES REMAIN POOR. CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE ATTAINABLE HOWEVER
PERSISTENT SFC RIDGING WILL BE LIMITING FACTOR THUS ANY AFTERNOON
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO REMAIN ISOLATED AT BEST. HIGH TEMPS
LOOK ON TRACK AT THIS POINT BUT SHOULD CLOUDINESS BECOME DENSE
THEN A LATER UPDATE MAY BE NEEDED. STILL EXPECT THE NEXT COLD
FRONT TO NEAR THE OK/KS BORDER AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  69  85  57 /  10  20  20  10
FSM   89  69  89  60 /  10  10  20  10
MLC   88  68  89  60 /  10  10  20  10
BVO   89  67  83  53 /  10  20  20  10
FYV   84  64  83  53 /  10  20  20  10
BYV   84  66  83  53 /  10  20  20  10
MKO   87  68  86  56 /  10  20  20  10
MIO   86  66  82  53 /  10  20  20  10
F10   87  68  87  58 /  10  10  20  10
HHW   88  68  90  64 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07





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