Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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258
FXUS64 KTSA 281125
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
625 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR cigs should persist for the OK terminals (except KBVO)
through much of this morning. MVFR cigs will also develop
into northwest AR over the next few hours and should last
into the afternoon before scattering out. Isolated thunderstorm
develop is possible later this afternoon and overnight...but
confidence is too low to include in TAFs.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level low continues to move northeast this morning with weak
subsidence over the area in its wake. Push of drier low level air
into northeast OK will establish a weak boundary somewhere in the
vicinity of I44. Limited threat of isolated storms near and
southeast of this boundary, but better chances will occur
overnight into Sunday as low level warm advection increases.

Additional chances for showers and thunderstorms will persist for
the first half of next week. Model data continues to show a weak
impulse moving through in westerly flow potentially leading to an
uptick in precip coverage Monday. A more substantial upper level
trough will push through the northern plains by mid week with a
cold front moving through the area, perhaps leading to another
uptick in rain chances Wednesday before a drier airmass finally
spread south and brings a more stable regime at the end of the
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   85  67  86  66 /  10  30  40  30
FSM   84  67  87  67 /  20  30  30  20
MLC   82  67  85  66 /  20  30  30  30
BVO   84  62  85  63 /  10  30  40  30
FYV   80  63  82  61 /  20  30  30  20
BYV   82  63  84  62 /  20  30  30  20
MKO   82  67  85  65 /  20  30  40  30
MIO   82  63  86  63 /  20  30  30  20
F10   81  66  84  65 /  20  30  30  30
HHW   84  68  85  67 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18



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