Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 200842
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
242 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Very high fire danger expected this afternoon across northeast
Oklahoma with conditions approaching red flag along and north of
I-44 corridor. Gusty southwest winds at 30-35 mph are expected
across aforementioned area with minimum relative humidity values
falling to around 30 percent. Given the already very dry conditions
and fuel loads, any fires that develop could quickly spread out
of control. Although red flag criteria is not currently forecast
to be met, this will continue to be closely monitored through the
day.

Next cold front will move into northeast Oklahoma Tuesday morning,
sweeping south into the ARKLATX region by early evening. Although
the fire danger is not expected to be as high compared to today,
gusty north winds and a dry airmass behind the front will again
create an elevated fire danger threat. Cooler weather expected
on Wednesday as surface ridge axis moves into the area with highs
only in the upper 40s NW AR to upper 50s far SE OK.

Upper high currently off the Baja coast will begin to shift east
into the desert southwest Thursday into Friday with unseasonably
warm/dry conditions. Another dry cold front will move through
Saturday with temperatures back to around normal by Sunday. Drought
conditions will continue to worsen with no real chance for precipitation
expected through at least the early to middle part of next week.
Therefore, fire weather will likely remain a significant concern
for the foreseeable future.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  43  63  27 /   0   0   0  10
FSM   66  40  64  33 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   65  45  65  32 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   66  37  63  24 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   61  38  62  26 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   61  43  61  29 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   65  41  64  30 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   63  42  60  25 /   0   0  10   0
F10   66  44  63  31 /   0   0   0  10
HHW   64  42  66  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....12



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