Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 030936
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
436 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
436 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY ENDING DURING THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN
THE VICINITY OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERING ACROSS THE AREA. THE
GREATEST COVERAGE AND THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WHERE INSTABILITY IS
MAXIMIZED. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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