000
FLUS44 KTSA 162155
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING IN THE RANGE OF 25 TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OVER
40 MPH ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WERE CREATING FIRE WEATHER DANGERS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY FOR OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES
WHERE THE STRONGER WINDS AND LOWER HUMIDITIES WERE CO-LOCATED.
FIRE DANGERS SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RECOVER AND WINDS SUBSIDE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER
           POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A SECOND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE PLAINS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BECOMING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE START OF THE
NEXT WORK WEEK BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS. BEHIND THE
EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO SET UP OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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