Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 211857

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
157 PM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

A band of stratus was affecting the eastern Ozarks early this
afternoon, but much of the remainder of the area had a mostly
sunny sky. Temperatures were ranging from the mid 40s to low 50s
with a northwest wind. High pressure will drift into the area this
evening with light winds and a mostly clear sky. Lows will be
chilly in the east with readings in the upper 20s to low 30s. A
bit warmer on the back side of the high with lows in the upper 30s

On Thursday, the high should be to the southeast of the area with
a return to southerly winds on the back side of the high and in
advance of a developing low in the high plains. Highs should climb
back into the 60s and may see some increasing fire danger
potential during the afternoon with decreasing humidity levels
into the 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

Upper ridging will build back into the area on Friday with highs
climbing back into the 60s. Some showers/thunder will be possible
as some shortwave energy moves across the area late in the day
Friday with an area of low pressure tracking into eastern Kansas
and across central MO Friday night into Saturday. Most of the
precipitation should occur out ahead of the low and should exit
east of the area later in the day Saturday.

After a generally dry day on Sunday, an active weather pattern is
expected to set up over the region from Sunday night through the
remainder of the long term period as deep southwesterly flow aloft
sets up ahead of a strong closed low out west. This will help to
draw in low level Gulf moisture back into the region and periods
of showers and thunderstorms as a frontal system sets up over the
area. Will need to monitor for heavy rain and flooding potential
as we get closer to that time frame, but the pattern seems to be
setting up for that.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

For the 18z TAFS...A band of stratus/strato cu was affecting much
of the eastern CWA, with a BKN ceiling at SGF. Scattered MVFR deck
at BBG and mostly clear at JLN. Should see this western edge of
the stratus which was over SGF begin to break up within an hour or
two of the 18z TAF onset. Should have VFR conditions thereafter at
all 3 taf sites. Winds will become light and variable this evening
before swinging around to the southeast overnight and for




SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.