Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 160436
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1136 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The cold core upper level low was continuing to churn its way
slowly to the east today across northern Missouri. The near
surface flow has kept cold air advection ongoing into this
afternoon and the combination with the overcast cloud cover has
acted to suppress daytime highs. Most locations have remained in
the 30s to lower 40s this afternoon and little if any additional
warming is expected. If some sun can peak through the clouds this
may aid in some heating but it looks unlikely that this would
occur. This will also bring the potential for some record minimum
high temperatures for the day across the Ozarks. See Climate
section below for details.

Temperatures tonight will drop into the 20s area wide as the upper
low shifts far enough east to drag the cloud cover with it. A
Freeze Warning is in effect for all of the Ozarks region as a
result.

Heading into Monday, after a cold start to the day, the region
will see the beginning of a warming trend with sunshine and
temperatures climbing into the 50s for most of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The pattern for the week will bring a warming trend and more
seasonable temperatures to the Ozarks through the end of the
week. A quick moving ridge will move across the plains and the
Missouri Valley Tuesday and bring temperatures in the 70s before a
dry cold front moves through and drops temperatures to more
seasonable levels. Overall and with the exception of Tuesday this
week, average highs will be in the 60s with overnight lows in the
40s each day.

The area will remain dry as well until Friday into the weekend. A
storm system will approach the area Friday afternoon into the
evening and bring the region its next chance for rain and
possibly thunderstorms for the end of the week and possibly
through next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Pilots can expect low VFR to MVFR ceilings tonight into early
Monday morning before the sky clears from the west. Gusty
northwesterly surface winds will persist tonight but subside
Monday as a deep low pressure system tracks off to the east. VFR
conditions should return area wide by Monday afternoon.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Area record minimum high temperatures for April 15th.

Springfield - 42 in 1993
Joplin      - 45 in 1993
West Plains - 49 in 1949
Vichy/Rolla - 45 in 1903
Pittsburg,KS- 47 in 2009

These are likely all in jeopardy today.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Monday for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Monday for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Foster
CLIMATE...Hatch



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