Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 130439

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1139 PM CDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon Mar 12 2018

Persistent low clouds kept temperatures down in the mid and upper
30s along the Ozark Plateau, with lower to mid 40s on the
northwest and southeastern edges of the forecast area where cloud
cover dissipated.

High pressure will continue to build southward from the northern
Plains tonight with north winds becoming light as the pressure
gradient relaxes a bit. Expect the rest of the low clouds to clear
out this evening as temperatures fall into the mid to upper 20s.
Would have gone a little lower with temps tonight but a weak
clipper system over the central high Plains may bring some
increase in cloud cover late tonight and early Tuesday,
decreasing radiational cooling. Those clouds should clear by late
morning/early afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon Mar 12 2018

High pressure shifts further south and east of the area by Wednesday,
allowing south to southwest winds and warmer temperatures to
spread into the region behind the high and ahead of a developing
lee side trough over eastern Colorado. We could see some
heightened fire danger, especially over our northwest counties, on
Wednesday and Thursday before higher dewpoints spread into the
area Thursday night and Friday.

Showers and a few storms could develop by Thursday night into
Friday as a warm front lifts northward over the region and low
pressure deepens over the central Plains. Instability proggs
shows very limited values so will just go with slight chances for
thunder during this time.

We could see a break in showers for most of Saturday before
another system develops to our west on Sunday and Monday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Mon Mar 12 2018

Some embedded shortwave energy with in the northwest flow aloft
will bring in some high level clouds overnight. High pressure
building in at the surface will give generally light northwest to
north winds tonight and Tuesday. VFR conditions expected through
the period.




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