000
FXUS63 KDMX 161143
AFDDMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
643 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY /...
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THE WEATHER WILL BE MUCH QUIETER TODAY AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
AREA BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. A LARGE STRATUS BANK HAS
DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT AND WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING...AS WELL AS SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE NORTH...BUT THIS SHOULD
ALL BURN OFF BY AROUND 13-15Z. THEREAFTER EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AND VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.
DESPITE LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH...PEAK SUMMER
INSOLATION SHOULD STILL BRING TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE LOW TO MID
80S ACROSS THE AREA.

.LONG TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM HAS SHIFTED SOUTH A BIT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND WILL SHAVE BACK ON POPS FOR MONDAY BASED ON THAT. AFTER
THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE EAST MONDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE A BREAK
FROM THE WET PATTERN FOR A FEW DAYS. THOUGH THERE ARE SOME LOW
POPS AROUND AS ONE COULD VIRTUALLY ALWAYS SAY THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR...IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY UNTIL ABOUT THU. FROM THU ON THERE
WILL BE CHANCES FOR THUNDER WITH THE BEST CHANCE DURING THE
CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED NIGHTTIME HOURS. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH THE UPPER
JET REMAINING CLOSE ENOUGH...IT WOULD APPEAR IA WILL BE PRIMED FOR
PERIODIC "RING OF FIRE" TYPE CONVECTION FROM THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...16/12Z
ISSUED AT 643 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

STRATUS AND FOG ARE RESULTING IN MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS AT MANY
SITES EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 13Z OR 14Z IN
THE NORTH...BUT FOG AND STRATUS MAY LINGER LATER INTO THE MORNING
AT KDSM/KOTM WHERE CLOUDS ARE THICKER AND WILL BURN OFF SLOWER.
HAVE TAKEN A BEST GUESS AT CLEARING TIME AROUND 15Z OR 16Z AT
THOSE TERMINALS BUT AMENDMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY AS SHORT TERM
TRENDS ARE MONITORED THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE TAF PERIOD FROM THIS AFTERNOON ONWARD VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LEE
LONG TERM...MS JUN 13
AVIATION...LEE