Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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000
FXUS63 KIWX 231614
AFDIWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1214 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 1212 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

A PLEASANT START TO FALL AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
BUILDS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEK...WARMING TO 75 TO 80
DEGREES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 340 AM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

RIDGING SFC AND ALOFT WILL BUILD OVR THE GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY THIS
PD IN RESPONSE TO DEEP LW TROUGHING DVLPG ALG/THROUGH THE WEST COAST.
NO SENSIBLE WX CONCERNS AS NET RESULT HERE WILL BE DRY WX ALG
W/WARMING TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH MOST
OF THE PERIOD WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN STORE FOR THE REGION
AND DRY FORECAST. A CLOSED UPPER LOW...CURRENTLY PRODUCING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NE/KS WILL TRY TO EDGE EAST OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT DOES IT WILL WEAKEN BUT STILL MAKE A RUN AT
THE WESTERN LAKES WHERE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A SHOWER WILL EXIST.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING STILL LOOKS TO HOLD ENOUGH TO KEEP RAINFALL OUT
OF THE AREA EVEN AS THE WAVE BRIEFLY CLOSES OFF BEFORE DROPPING
SOUTH.

590 DM RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK IN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES FROM THE
NORTH INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS STILL VARY SOMEWHAT ON PIECE OF
ENERGY MOVING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF TOWARDS THE AREA JUST OUTSIDE
THE VALID FORECAST PERIOD WITH ECMWF LEANING TOWARDS WETTER
CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1212 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

SFC HIGH PRESSURE...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUED VFR GHROUGH
FORECAST PERIOD. WX NIL.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MURPHY
SHORT TERM...T
LONG TERM...FISHER
AVIATION...LEWIS


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