Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 102101
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
301 PM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Several cold fronts are the focus for the forecast for the next 7
days. Unseasonably warm temperatures Today will quickly be replaced
by cooler temperatures Sunday as another cold front sweeps across the
Panhandles. High temperatures are expected to range in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. We quickly rebound on Monday with temperatures area wide
possibly getting to the 60 degree mark while the southwestern Texas
Panhandle pushes into the mid 60s once again.

On Tuesday, another cold front pushes into the Panhandles with a
little more cold air behind it. This will help to keep our high
temperatures in the 40s across the NE with possibly the far SW
reaching the 60 degree mark. The warmer temperatures across the SW
will be more of a product of the surface winds returning to the south
and southwest much quicker than locations north and east.

Models diverge in the extended portion of the forecast with respect
to timing of fronts and moisture availability. A greater push of
colder air is expected to move into the Panhandles early on Wednesday
morning. This will give us much cooler daytime highs with near
freezing highs across the NE to lower 50s across the SW. This front
is expected to move through precip free. Models show warm air
advection surging northward Thursday and Thursday night to bring
warmer temperatures to the area. With 850mb temperatures of 16 to 18C
over the Panhandles on Friday, we could see highs in the 60s across
the southern Texas Panhandle. Forecast models show that there could
be a chance for precip across the eastern Panhandles early on in the
day with the majority of the precip chances remaining east and north
of the area. We could easily be stuck in the dry slot with this
system. High temperatures on Saturday gets tricky due to the timing
of another arctic surge pushing into the Panhandles. The front looks
dry initially with possible chance for precip over the weekend. Kept
chances low for now given run to run discrepancies.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                44  59  27  61  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  38  54  26  53  24 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              40  52  28  56  23 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  43  58  27  59  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              43  61  27  61  27 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  44  62  28  62  29 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               42  61  31  57  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 40  58  26  59  26 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  40  54  25  56  23 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                42  65  26  64  29 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                39  55  28  54  29 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   44  57  27  58  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                39  58  29  53  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              40  61  30  53  31 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

2/14


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