Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 250545

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1245 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016

For the 06z TAFs...An abundance of mid- and high-level clouds can be
expected overnight and Tuesday morning.  Could see a very brief bout
of MVFR BR develop around KAMA around sunrise, but otherwise VFR
conditions are expected to prevail at all terminals next 24 hours.
Southwest surface winds expected to gust into the 20 to 25 kt range
for much of the day.  Mid-level shortwave trof passes this evening,
driving surface trof/dryline feature to move through eastern parts of
forecast area.  Weak cold front then moves into northwest parts of
the area toward the end of the forecast.  The passage of these
boundaries will produce surface wind shifts below a generally clear



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 615 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016/

VFR conditions are expected for the majority of this TAF cycle. The
exception is a window for MVFR at KAMA due to the potential for a
light fog. Southerly winds will help to bring low level moisture
further west than this morning. This could allow for a window around
sunrise for a light fog to develop. Should this fog form it will
quickly dissipate by 14-15Z. Southerly winds will then prevail for
the remainder of this TAF cycle.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 422 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016/

Dry weather and above normal temperatures will prevail across the OK
and TX Panhandles through the weekend with one minor exception. A
surface trough is expected to slide southeast across the area
Tuesday and Tuesday night. A feeble supply of moisture will exist
across the far ern zones. All models and progged model soundings
suggest the atmosphere will remain largely capped through Tuesday
afternoon so have kept pops below mentionable across ern zones. Have
retained slgt chc pops across the eastern OK Panhandle and extreme
northeast Texas Panhandle Tuesday evening as there may be just enough
lift in close proximity of sfc trof to cause an isold tstm or two to
form in that area before heading into OK and KS. Severe threat
appears minimal at this time with any storms that develop in our far
ern and nern zones. Otherwise, no pops through next Monday as an
upper level ridge of high pressure will generally dominate the
weather across our fcst area. There will be a couple dry cold frontal
passages durg this 7 day period. Overall, temperatures will remain
above normal through next Monday.


Neither elevated nor critical fire weather conditions are expected
through at least Thursday as minimum relative humidity values are
forecast to remain above 20 percent each of those days.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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